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Photo: Mtaylor848
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
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Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
19 Jul 2024 · T20
Headingley · Venue photographRecorded result
Nottinghamshire started on 42%; Nottinghamshire batted first.
Nottinghamshire's chances ranged from 29% to 100% during the match (Yorkshire: 0% to 71%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Adam Lythcaught · Sam King · Luke Fletcher1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sam King · b Luke Fletcher | 8 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 80.00 |
 William Luxtoncaught · Liam Patterson-White · Oli Stone2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Liam Patterson-White · b Oli Stone | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 240.00 |
| James Whartoncaught · Joe Clarke · Fazalhaq Farooqi 5 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Joe Clarke · b Fazalhaq Farooqi | 52 | 46 | 5 | 1 | 113.04 |
 Shan Masoodcaught · Freddie McCann · Luke Fletcher0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Freddie McCann |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
 George Hillbowled · Calvin Harrison3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Calvin Harrison | 15 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 150.00 |
|---|
| Donavon Ferreiracaught · Oli Stone · Calvin Harrison 1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Oli Stone · b Calvin Harrison | 22 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 183.33 |
|---|
 Jordan Thompsonnot out3 fours · 4 sixes | not out | 50* | 29 | 3 | 4 | 172.41 |
|---|
 Dominic Bessnot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 7* | 8 | 1 | 0 | 87.50 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 6 · wides: 7 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fazalhaq Farooqi0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 1 | 8.00 | 2 | 0 |
 Oli Stone0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 44 | 1 | 11.00 | 3 | 0 |
 Luke Fletcher0 maidens · 2 wides · 2 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 2 | 9.00 | 2 | 2 |
| Lyndon James0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Calvin Harrison0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 2 | 4.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Liam Patterson-White0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 14.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-15 (William Luxton, 1.3) · 2-31 (Adam Lyth, 3.4) · 3-31 (Shan Masood, 3.5) · 4-71 (George Hill, 7.5) · 5-105 (Donavon Ferreira, 11.4) · 6-132 (James Wharton, 15.4)
Recorded target: 210 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 9 | 16/1 |
| 3 | 9 | 25/1 |
| 4 | 6 | 31/3 |
| 5 | 17 | 48/3 |
| 6 | 9 | 57/3 |
| 7 | 11 | 68/3 |
| 8 | 3 | 71/4 |
| 9 | 9 | 80/4 |
| 10 | 8 | 88/4 |
| 11 | 14 | 102/4 |
| 12 | 4 | 106/5 |
| 13 | 7 | 113/5 |
| 14 | 6 | 119/5 |
| 15 | 10 | 129/5 |
| 16 | 4 | 133/6 |
| 17 | 17 | 150/6 |
| 18 | 13 | 163/6 |
| 19 | 13 | 176/6 |
| 20 | 5 | 181/6 |
William Luxton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Dan Moriarty: Dave Morton · Public domain
Fazalhaq Farooqi: Afghanistan Cricket Board Official · CC BY 3.0
Tom Moores: Dave Morton · Public domain
Luke Fletcher: Dave Morton · Public domain
George Hill: Dave Morton · Public domain
Oli Stone: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shan Masood: Balochistan Social News · CC BY 3.0
Jordan Thompson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Adam Lyth: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Dominic Bess: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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