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Namibia T20 Tri-Series · 2024 · Men
1 Oct 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Namibia more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United States of America started on 38%; United States of America batted first.
United States of America's chances ranged from 30% to 99% during the match (Namibia: 1% to 70%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jean-Pierre Kotzebowled · Jasdeep Singh 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jasdeep Singh | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| Jan Frylinckcaught · Shayan Jahangir · Milind Kumar 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shayan Jahangir · b Milind Kumar | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
| Jan Nicol Loftie-Eatoncaught · J Drysdale · Nosthush Kenjige 6 fours · 1 sixes | caught · J Drysdale · b Nosthush Kenjige | 34 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 178.95 |
| Gerhard Erasmuscaught · Andries Gous · Jasdeep Singh 10 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Andries Gous · b Jasdeep Singh | 77 | 49 | 10 | 1 | 157.14 |
| JJ Smitcaught · Harmeet Singh · J Drysdale 2 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Harmeet Singh · b J Drysdale | 25 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 208.33 |
 Malan Krugerbowled · Nosthush Kenjige0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Nosthush Kenjige | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 85.71 |
|---|
| Jan-Izak de Villierslbw · Nosthush Kenjige 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Nosthush Kenjige | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| DO Leichernot out 0 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 12* | 14 | 0 | 1 | 85.71 |
|---|
| Bernard Scholtzcaught · Nosthush Kenjige · Abhishek Paradkar 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nosthush Kenjige · b Abhishek Paradkar | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Jack Brassellnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 6 | 1 | 0 | 83.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jasdeep Singh0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 5.25 | 2 | 0 |
| Milind Kumar1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 1 | 20 | 1 | 10.00 | 1 | 0 |
| J Drysdale0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 8.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Abhishek Paradkar0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 9.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Harmeet Singh0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 39 | 0 | 9.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Nosthush Kenjige0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 3 | 8.50 | 1 | 0 |
1-2 (Jean-Pierre Kotze, 0.5) · 2-2 (Jan Frylinck, 1.4) · 3-65 (Jan Nicol Loftie-Eaton, 7.1) · 4-103 (JJ Smit, 10.3) · 5-135 (Malan Kruger, 14.2) · 6-137 (Jan-Izak de Villiers, 15.0) · 7-157 (Gerhard Erasmus, 17.2) · 8-161 (Bernard Scholtz, 18.2)
Recorded target: 182 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/1 |
| 2 | 0 | 2/2 |
| 3 | 11 | 13/2 |
| 4 | 20 | 33/2 |
| 5 | 7 | 40/2 |
| 6 | 16 | 56/2 |
| 7 | 9 | 65/2 |
| 8 | 3 | 68/3 |
| 9 | 16 | 84/3 |
| 10 | 14 | 98/3 |
| 11 | 9 | 107/4 |
| 12 | 9 | 116/4 |
| 13 | 9 | 125/4 |
| 14 | 9 | 134/4 |
| 15 | 3 | 137/6 |
| 16 | 6 | 143/6 |
| 17 | 14 | 157/6 |
| 18 | 3 | 160/7 |
| 19 | 3 | 163/8 |
| 20 | 5 | 168/8 |
Malan Kruger: Amuzujoe · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
