OneTipOneHand
Bringing the game to you…
Loading your next view.
THE WORLD OF CRICKET. CONNECTED. One game. A global community.
OneTipOneHand
Loading your next view.
Spot an error, a missing record or a photograph that needs attention?
Malawi Tri-Nation T20I Series · 2026 · Men
12 Aug 2026 · T20
Rwanda more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Zambia started on 14%; Zambia batted first.
Zambia's chances ranged from 11% to 94% during the match (Rwanda: 6% to 89%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D Ndikubwimanacaught · Ayaz Dadabhai · R Lungu 5 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ayaz Dadabhai · b R Lungu | 47 | 42 | 5 | 1 | 111.90 |
| Hamza Khanstumped · Shadreck Malama · R Lungu 2 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Shadreck Malama · b R Lungu | 18 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 90.00 |
| I Niyomugabocaught · Soyeb Pendi · R Lungu 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Soyeb Pendi · b R Lungu | 14 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 93.33 |
| M Akayezucaught · Shadreck Malama · Zakir Husain Patel 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shadreck Malama · b Zakir Husain Patel | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| O Manishimwerun out · Ismail Kara, Shadreck Malama · Ayaz Dadabhai 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Ismail Kara, Shadreck Malama | 15 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 115.38 |
| D Uwimananot out 1 fours · 4 sixes |
|---|
| not out |
| 37* |
| 20 |
| 1 |
| 4 |
| 185.00 |
| E Rukirizabowled · Ayaz Dadabhai 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ayaz Dadabhai | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Yves Cyusacaught · Ayaz Dadabhai · Ismail Kara 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ayaz Dadabhai · b Ismail Kara | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| I Mugishacaught · Shadreck Malama · Ismail Kara 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shadreck Malama · b Ismail Kara | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Muhammad Nadirnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 6 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ismail Kara0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 2 | 4.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Soyeb Pendi0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 8.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Ayaz Dadabhai0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 10.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Joshep Zulu0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 8.50 | 2 | 0 |
| R Lungu0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 3 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Zakir Husain Patel0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-53 (Hamza Khan, 7.4) · 2-76 (I Niyomugabo, 11.5) · 3-79 (M Akayezu, 12.4) · 4-87 (D Ndikubwimana, 13.3) · 5-128 (O Manishimwe, 17.5) · 6-128 (E Rukiriza, 18.0) · 7-142 (Yves Cyusa, 19.2) · 8-142 (I Mugisha, 19.3)
Recorded target: 152 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 11/0 |
| 3 | 9 | 20/0 |
| 4 | 11 | 31/0 |
| 5 | 3 | 34/0 |
| 6 | 11 | 45/0 |
| 7 | 7 | 52/0 |
| 8 | 2 | 54/1 |
| 9 | 10 | 64/1 |
| 10 | 5 | 69/1 |
| 11 | 5 | 74/1 |
| 12 | 2 | 76/2 |
| 13 | 5 | 81/3 |
| 14 | 9 | 90/4 |
| 15 | 11 | 101/4 |
| 16 | 8 | 109/4 |
| 17 | 6 | 115/4 |
| 18 | 13 | 128/6 |
| 19 | 13 | 141/6 |
| 20 | 2 | 143/8 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.