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India tour of England · 2025 · Men
2 Jul 2025 · Test
Edgbaston · Venue photographRecorded result
England more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 4
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Zak Crawleycaught · B Sai Sudharsan · Mohammed Siraj0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · B Sai Sudharsan · b Mohammed Siraj | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Ben Duckettbowled · Akash Deep5 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Akash Deep | 25 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 166.67 |
 Ollie Popebowled · Akash Deep3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Akash Deep | 24 | 50 | 3 | 0 | 48.00 |
 |
| bowled · b Akash Deep |
| 6 |
| 16 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 37.50 |
 Harry Brooklbw · Akash Deep3 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Akash Deep | 23 | 31 | 3 | 0 | 74.19 |
|---|
 Ben Stokeslbw · Washington Sundar6 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Washington Sundar | 33 | 73 | 6 | 0 | 45.21 |
|---|
 Jamie Smithcaught · Washington Sundar · Akash Deep9 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Washington Sundar · b Akash Deep | 88 | 99 | 9 | 4 | 88.89 |
|---|
 Chris Woakescaught · Mohammed Siraj · Prasidh Krishna1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mohammed Siraj · b Prasidh Krishna | 7 | 32 | 1 | 0 | 21.88 |
|---|
 Brydon Carsecaught · Shubman Gill · Akash Deep5 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Shubman Gill · b Akash Deep | 38 | 48 | 5 | 1 | 79.17 |
|---|
| Josh Tonguecaught · Mohammed Siraj · Ravindra Jadeja 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mohammed Siraj · b Ravindra Jadeja | 2 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 6.90 |
|---|
| Shoaib Bashirnot out 1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 12* | 12 | 1 | 1 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 2 · noballs: 3 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Akash Deep2 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 21.1 | 2 | 99 | 6 | 4.68 | 0 | 1 |
 Mohammed Siraj3 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 12.0 | 3 | 57 | 1 | 4.75 | 1 | 1 |
| Prasidh Krishna2 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 14.0 | 2 | 39 | 1 | 2.79 | 1 | 1 |
 Ravindra Jadeja4 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 15.0 | 4 | 40 | 1 | 2.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Washington Sundar2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 2 | 28 | 1 | 4.67 | 0 | 0 |
1-11 (Zak Crawley, 1.4) · 2-30 (Ben Duckett, 4.3) · 3-50 (Joe Root, 10.2) · 4-80 (Ollie Pope, 19.1) · 5-83 (Harry Brook, 21.3) · 6-153 (Ben Stokes, 40.3) · 7-199 (Chris Woakes, 52.1) · 8-226 (Jamie Smith, 55.4) · 9-246 (Josh Tongue, 63.5) · 10-271 (Brydon Carse, 68.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/0 |
| 2 | 13 | 13/1 |
| 3 | 3 | 16/1 |
| 4 | 10 | 26/1 |
| 5 | 5 | 31/2 |
| 6 | 2 | 33/2 |
| 7 | 10 | 43/2 |
| 8 | 4 | 47/2 |
| 9 | 1 | 48/2 |
| 10 | 2 | 50/2 |
| 11 | 2 | 52/3 |
| 12 | 4 | 56/3 |
| 13 | 2 | 58/3 |
| 14 | 1 | 59/3 |
| 15 | 0 | 59/3 |
| 16 | 13 | 72/3 |
| 17 | 1 | 73/3 |
| 18 | 1 | 74/3 |
| 19 | 6 | 80/3 |
| 20 | 3 | 83/4 |
| 21 | 0 | 83/4 |
| 22 | 4 | 87/5 |
| 23 | 5 | 92/5 |
| 24 | 6 | 98/5 |
| 25 | 2 | 100/5 |
| 26 | 2 | 102/5 |
| 27 | 2 | 104/5 |
| 28 | 6 | 110/5 |
| 29 | 0 | 110/5 |
| 30 | 1 | 111/5 |
| 31 | 9 | 120/5 |
| 32 | 3 | 123/5 |
| 33 | 0 | 123/5 |
| 34 | 0 | 123/5 |
| 35 | 10 | 133/5 |
| 36 | 9 | 142/5 |
| 37 | 4 | 146/5 |
| 38 | 5 | 151/5 |
| 39 | 2 | 153/5 |
| 40 | 0 | 153/5 |
| 41 | 0 | 153/6 |
| 42 | 5 | 158/6 |
| 43 | 8 | 166/6 |
| 44 | 1 | 167/6 |
| 45 | 0 | 167/6 |
| 46 | 5 | 172/6 |
| 47 | 1 | 173/6 |
| 48 | 1 | 174/6 |
| 49 | 17 | 191/6 |
| 50 | 5 | 196/6 |
| 51 | 1 | 197/6 |
| 52 | 2 | 199/6 |
| 53 | 5 | 204/7 |
| 54 | 0 | 204/7 |
| 55 | 7 | 211/7 |
| 56 | 15 | 226/8 |
| 57 | 1 | 227/8 |
| 58 | 5 | 232/8 |
| 59 | 6 | 238/8 |
| 60 | 0 | 238/8 |
| 61 | 4 | 242/8 |
| 62 | 2 | 244/8 |
| 63 | 1 | 245/8 |
| 64 | 5 | 250/9 |
| 65 | 9 | 259/9 |
| 66 | 3 | 262/9 |
| 67 | 9 | 271/9 |
| 68 | 0 | 271/9 |
| 69 | 0 | 271/10 |
Harry Brook: Dave Morton · Public domain
Washington Sundar: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Brydon Carse: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Yashasvi Jaiswal: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Nitish Kumar Reddy: WikiWanderer261 · CC0
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rishabh Pant: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Mohammed Siraj: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Jamie Smith: Dave Morton · Public domain
KL Rahul: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Joe Root: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ravindra Jadeja: SR Vlogs · CC BY 3.0
Chris Woakes: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shubman Gill: Bollywood Hungama · CC BY 3.0
Karun Nair: User:Vishu@2008 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Stokes: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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