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India tour of England · 2025 · Men
2 Jul 2025 · Test
Edgbaston · Venue photographRecorded result
England more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Yashasvi Jaiswalcaught · Jamie Smith · Ben Stokes13 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jamie Smith · b Ben Stokes | 87 | 107 | 13 | 0 | 81.31 |
 KL Rahulbowled · Chris Woakes0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Chris Woakes | 2 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 7.69 |
 Karun Naircaught · Harry Brook · Brydon Carse5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harry Brook · b Brydon Carse | 31 | 50 | 5 | 0 | 62.00 |
 |
| caught · Ollie Pope · b Josh Tongue |
| 269 |
| 387 |
| 30 |
| 3 |
| 69.51 |
 Rishabh Pantcaught · Zak Crawley · Shoaib Bashir1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Zak Crawley · b Shoaib Bashir | 25 | 42 | 1 | 1 | 59.52 |
|---|
 Nitish Kumar Reddybowled · Chris Woakes0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Chris Woakes | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
|---|
 Ravindra Jadejacaught · Jamie Smith · Josh Tongue10 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Jamie Smith · b Josh Tongue | 89 | 137 | 10 | 1 | 64.96 |
|---|
 Washington Sundarbowled · Joe Root3 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Joe Root | 42 | 103 | 3 | 1 | 40.78 |
|---|
| Akash Deepcaught · Ben Duckett · Shoaib Bashir 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ben Duckett · b Shoaib Bashir | 6 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 46.15 |
|---|
 Mohammed Sirajstumped · Jamie Smith · Shoaib Bashir1 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Jamie Smith · b Shoaib Bashir | 8 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 34.78 |
|---|
| Prasidh Krishnanot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 20 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 6 · legbyes: 6 · wides: 2 · noballs: 8 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chris Woakes6 maidens · 0 wides · 2 no-balls | 25.0 | 6 | 81 | 2 | 3.24 | 0 | 2 |
 Brydon Carse3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 24.0 | 3 | 83 | 1 | 3.46 | 0 | 0 |
| Josh Tongue2 maidens · 1 wides · 2 no-balls | 28.0 | 2 | 119 | 2 | 4.25 | 1 | 2 |
 Ben Stokes0 maidens · 0 wides · 4 no-balls | 19.0 | 0 | 74 | 1 | 3.89 | 0 | 4 |
| Shoaib Bashir2 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 45.0 | 2 | 167 | 3 | 3.71 | 1 | 0 |
 Joe Root0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Harry Brook0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 6.20 | 0 | 0 |
1-15 (KL Rahul, 8.4) · 2-95 (Karun Nair, 23.3) · 3-161 (Yashasvi Jaiswal, 45.1) · 4-208 (Rishabh Pant, 60.1) · 5-211 (Nitish Kumar Reddy, 61.4) · 6-414 (Ravindra Jadeja, 107.3) · 7-558 (Washington Sundar, 138.4) · 8-574 (Shubman Gill, 143.3) · 9-574 (Akash Deep, 144.2) · 10-587 (Mohammed Siraj, 151.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 1 | 5/0 |
| 3 | 0 | 5/0 |
| 4 | 4 | 9/0 |
| 5 | 0 | 9/0 |
| 6 | 5 | 14/0 |
| 7 | 0 | 14/0 |
| 8 | 1 | 15/0 |
| 9 | 0 | 15/1 |
| 10 | 2 | 17/1 |
| 11 | 4 | 21/1 |
| 12 | 9 | 30/1 |
| 13 | 7 | 37/1 |
| 14 | 1 | 38/1 |
| 15 | 7 | 45/1 |
| 16 | 12 | 57/1 |
| 17 | 6 | 63/1 |
| 18 | 2 | 65/1 |
| 19 | 6 | 71/1 |
| 20 | 4 | 75/1 |
| 21 | 2 | 77/1 |
| 22 | 14 | 91/1 |
| 23 | 2 | 93/1 |
| 24 | 2 | 95/2 |
| 25 | 3 | 98/2 |
| 26 | 6 | 104/2 |
| 27 | 3 | 107/2 |
| 28 | 2 | 109/2 |
| 29 | 2 | 111/2 |
| 30 | 0 | 111/2 |
| 31 | 5 | 116/2 |
| 32 | 2 | 118/2 |
| 33 | 8 | 126/2 |
| 34 | 2 | 128/2 |
| 35 | 0 | 128/2 |
| 36 | 1 | 129/2 |
| 37 | 3 | 132/2 |
| 38 | 6 | 138/2 |
| 39 | 3 | 141/2 |
| 40 | 2 | 143/2 |
| 41 | 4 | 147/2 |
| 42 | 2 | 149/2 |
| 43 | 6 | 155/2 |
| 44 | 3 | 158/2 |
| 45 | 3 | 161/2 |
| 46 | 1 | 162/3 |
| 47 | 2 | 164/3 |
| 48 | 2 | 166/3 |
| 49 | 1 | 167/3 |
| 50 | 3 | 170/3 |
| 51 | 8 | 178/3 |
| 52 | 2 | 180/3 |
| 53 | 2 | 182/3 |
| 54 | 0 | 182/3 |
| 55 | 1 | 183/3 |
| 56 | 5 | 188/3 |
| 57 | 5 | 193/3 |
| 58 | 3 | 196/3 |
| 59 | 6 | 202/3 |
| 60 | 6 | 208/3 |
| 61 | 2 | 210/4 |
| 62 | 2 | 212/5 |
| 63 | 6 | 218/5 |
| 64 | 5 | 223/5 |
| 65 | 0 | 223/5 |
| 66 | 9 | 232/5 |
| 67 | 6 | 238/5 |
| 68 | 5 | 243/5 |
| 69 | 1 | 244/5 |
| 70 | 2 | 246/5 |
| 71 | 1 | 247/5 |
| 72 | 5 | 252/5 |
| 73 | 6 | 258/5 |
| 74 | 1 | 259/5 |
| 75 | 3 | 262/5 |
| 76 | 8 | 270/5 |
| 77 | 5 | 275/5 |
| 78 | 5 | 280/5 |
| 79 | 3 | 283/5 |
| 80 | 8 | 291/5 |
| 81 | 5 | 296/5 |
| 82 | 7 | 303/5 |
| 83 | 1 | 304/5 |
| 84 | 4 | 308/5 |
| 85 | 2 | 310/5 |
| 86 | 2 | 312/5 |
| 87 | 10 | 322/5 |
| 88 | 5 | 327/5 |
| 89 | 3 | 330/5 |
| 90 | 1 | 331/5 |
| 91 | 4 | 335/5 |
| 92 | 8 | 343/5 |
| 93 | 5 | 348/5 |
| 94 | 1 | 349/5 |
| 95 | 1 | 350/5 |
| 96 | 9 | 359/5 |
| 97 | 3 | 362/5 |
| 98 | 3 | 365/5 |
| 99 | 0 | 365/5 |
| 100 | 10 | 375/5 |
| 101 | 2 | 377/5 |
| 102 | 5 | 382/5 |
| 103 | 5 | 387/5 |
| 104 | 3 | 390/5 |
| 105 | 1 | 391/5 |
| 106 | 8 | 399/5 |
| 107 | 13 | 412/5 |
| 108 | 2 | 414/6 |
| 109 | 3 | 417/6 |
| 110 | 2 | 419/6 |
| 111 | 1 | 420/6 |
| 112 | 2 | 422/6 |
| 113 | 7 | 429/6 |
| 114 | 4 | 433/6 |
| 115 | 2 | 435/6 |
| 116 | 1 | 436/6 |
| 117 | 7 | 443/6 |
| 118 | 11 | 454/6 |
| 119 | 6 | 460/6 |
| 120 | 11 | 471/6 |
| 121 | 0 | 471/6 |
| 122 | 1 | 472/6 |
| 123 | 10 | 482/6 |
| 124 | 2 | 484/6 |
| 125 | 12 | 496/6 |
| 126 | 0 | 496/6 |
| 127 | 3 | 499/6 |
| 128 | 9 | 508/6 |
| 129 | 2 | 510/6 |
| 130 | 5 | 515/6 |
| 131 | 3 | 518/6 |
| 132 | 8 | 526/6 |
| 133 | 11 | 537/6 |
| 134 | 5 | 542/6 |
| 135 | 1 | 543/6 |
| 136 | 3 | 546/6 |
| 137 | 5 | 551/6 |
| 138 | 5 | 556/6 |
| 139 | 2 | 558/7 |
| 140 | 1 | 559/7 |
| 141 | 5 | 564/7 |
| 142 | 5 | 569/7 |
| 143 | 5 | 574/7 |
| 144 | 0 | 574/8 |
| 145 | 1 | 575/9 |
| 146 | 0 | 575/9 |
| 147 | 5 | 580/9 |
| 148 | 1 | 581/9 |
| 149 | 2 | 583/9 |
| 150 | 2 | 585/9 |
| 151 | 2 | 587/10 |
Harry Brook: Dave Morton · Public domain
Washington Sundar: Dee03 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Brydon Carse: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Yashasvi Jaiswal: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Nitish Kumar Reddy: WikiWanderer261 · CC0
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Rishabh Pant: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Mohammed Siraj: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Jamie Smith: Dave Morton · Public domain
KL Rahul: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Joe Root: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zak Crawley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ravindra Jadeja: SR Vlogs · CC BY 3.0
Chris Woakes: Storm machine · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shubman Gill: Bollywood Hungama · CC BY 3.0
Karun Nair: User:Vishu@2008 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Ben Stokes: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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