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Photo: PaddyBriggs
Original photograph ↗ · Public domain
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Women's Super Smash · 2025/26 · Women
11 Jan 2026 · T20
Basin Reserve, Wellington · Venue photographRecorded result
Wellington started on 62%; Wellington batted first.
Wellington's chances ranged from 55% to 97% during the match (Northern Districts: 3% to 45%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jess Watkincaught · Georgia Plimmer · XA Jetly 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Georgia Plimmer · b XA Jetly | 28 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 127.27 |
| T Wakelinrun out · S Mackinder, N Baird · N Baird 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · S Mackinder, N Baird | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 36.36 |
| E Wollandcaught · Jess Kerr · XA Jetly 9 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Jess Kerr · b XA Jetly | 70 | 48 | 9 | 2 | 145.83 |
| Caitlin Gurreybowled · XA Jetly 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b XA Jetly | 14 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| MBA Lamploughbowled · Jess Kerr 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jess Kerr | 10 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 83.33 |
| bowled · b N Baird |
| 4 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 100.00 |
| Kayley Knightrun out · Georgia Plimmer, N Baird · N Baird 2 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Georgia Plimmer, N Baird | 19 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 237.50 |
|---|
| Nensi Patelrun out · Jess Kerr, N Baird · N Baird 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Jess Kerr, N Baird | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| HE Toppnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 5 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XA Jetly0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 40 | 3 | 10.00 | 5 | 0 |
| Jess Kerr0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
| JA Simmons0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 9.00 | 1 | 0 |
| N Baird0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 7.50 | 1 | 0 |
| RJ Bryant0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 0 | 6.33 | 0 | 0 |
| HC Francis0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-20 (T Wakelin, 3.4) · 2-42 (Jess Watkin, 6.2) · 3-93 (Caitlin Gurrey, 14.1) · 4-128 (E Wolland, 17.1) · 5-137 (MBA Lamplough, 18.1) · 6-149 (C Agafili, 19.1) · 7-161 (Nensi Patel, 19.5) · 8-162 (Kayley Knight, 20.0)
Recorded target: 166 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 10/0 |
| 3 | 6 | 16/0 |
| 4 | 5 | 21/1 |
| 5 | 10 | 31/1 |
| 6 | 9 | 40/1 |
| 7 | 9 | 49/2 |
| 8 | 4 | 53/2 |
| 9 | 6 | 59/2 |
| 10 | 6 | 65/2 |
| 11 | 8 | 73/2 |
| 12 | 7 | 80/2 |
| 13 | 7 | 87/2 |
| 14 | 6 | 93/2 |
| 15 | 14 | 107/3 |
| 16 | 8 | 115/3 |
| 17 | 13 | 128/3 |
| 18 | 9 | 137/4 |
| 19 | 12 | 149/5 |
| 20 | 13 | 162/8 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.