OneTipOneHand
Bringing the game to you…
Loading your next view.
THE WORLD OF CRICKET. CONNECTED. One game. A global community.
OneTipOneHand
Loading your next view.
Spot an error, a missing record or a photograph that needs attention?
Photo: Neweditorpk
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
ICC Champions Trophy · 2024/25 · Men
24 Feb 2025 · ODI
Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
New Zealand more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Bangladesh started on 20%; Bangladesh batted first.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Youngbowled · Taskin Ahmed0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Taskin Ahmed | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Devon Conwaybowled · Mustafizur Rahman 6 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mustafizur Rahman | 30 | 45 | 6 | 0 | 66.67 |
 Kane Williamsoncaught · Mushfiqur Rahim · Nahid Rana1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mushfiqur Rahim · b Nahid Rana | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 125.00 |
 Rachin Ravindracaught · Parvez Hossain Emon · Rishad Hossain12 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Parvez Hossain Emon · b Rishad Hossain | 112 |
Bangladesh's chances ranged from 0% to 36% during the match (New Zealand: 64% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| 105 |
| 12 |
| 1 |
| 106.67 |
 Tom Lathamrun out · Mahmudullah · Mustafizur Rahman3 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Mahmudullah | 55 | 76 | 3 | 0 | 72.37 |
|---|
| Glenn Phillipsnot out 2 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 21* | 28 | 2 | 1 | 75.00 |
|---|
| Michael Bracewellnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 11* | 13 | 1 | 0 | 84.62 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Taskin Ahmed2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 7.0 | 2 | 28 | 1 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Nahid Rana0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 43 | 1 | 4.78 | 0 | 0 |
 Mehedi Hasan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 53 | 0 | 5.30 | 0 | 0 |
 Mustafizur Rahman0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 42 | 1 | 4.20 | 2 | 0 |
 Rishad Hossain0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.1 | 0 | 58 | 1 | 6.33 | 0 | 0 |
 Najmul Hossain Shanto0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Will Young, 1.0) · 2-15 (Kane Williamson, 3.3) · 3-72 (Devon Conway, 15.4) · 4-201 (Rachin Ravindra, 38.2) · 5-214 (Tom Latham, 41.4)
Recorded target: 237 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0/1 |
| 2 | 5 | 5/1 |
| 3 | 8 | 13/1 |
| 4 | 6 | 19/2 |
| 5 | 0 | 19/2 |
| 6 | 1 | 20/2 |
| 7 | 8 | 28/2 |
| 8 | 12 | 40/2 |
| 9 | 9 | 49/2 |
| 10 | 5 | 54/2 |
| 11 | 3 | 57/2 |
| 12 | 1 | 58/2 |
| 13 | 7 | 65/2 |
| 14 | 1 | 66/2 |
| 15 | 5 | 71/2 |
| 16 | 3 | 74/3 |
| 17 | 4 | 78/3 |
| 18 | 9 | 87/3 |
| 19 | 3 | 90/3 |
| 20 | 4 | 94/3 |
| 21 | 5 | 99/3 |
| 22 | 4 | 103/3 |
| 23 | 2 | 105/3 |
| 24 | 3 | 108/3 |
| 25 | 3 | 111/3 |
| 26 | 10 | 121/3 |
| 27 | 7 | 128/3 |
| 28 | 12 | 140/3 |
| 29 | 6 | 146/3 |
| 30 | 5 | 151/3 |
| 31 | 9 | 160/3 |
| 32 | 4 | 164/3 |
| 33 | 1 | 165/3 |
| 34 | 6 | 171/3 |
| 35 | 6 | 177/3 |
| 36 | 6 | 183/3 |
| 37 | 8 | 191/3 |
| 38 | 9 | 200/3 |
| 39 | 5 | 205/4 |
| 40 | 3 | 208/4 |
| 41 | 4 | 212/4 |
| 42 | 2 | 214/5 |
| 43 | 9 | 223/5 |
| 44 | 5 | 228/5 |
| 45 | 3 | 231/5 |
| 46 | 5 | 236/5 |
| 47 | 4 | 240/5 |
Tawhid Hridoy: Niriho khoka · CC BY 4.0
Rishad Hossain: Press Information Department · Public domain
Nahid Rana: Press Information Department · Public domain
Kyle Jamieson: Photographer - David Hollander · CC BY 3.0 nz
Mahmudullah: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Matt Henry: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jaker Ali: Press Information Department · Public domain
Taskin Ahmed: Mahbub Ali Zaki · CC BY-SA 4.0
William O’Rourke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Young: Dave Morton · Public domain
Rachin Ravindra: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Mustafizur Rahman: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Najmul Hossain Shanto: Rocky Masum · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mushfiqur Rahim: Rasi56 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mehedi Hasan: Nurunnaby Chowdhury (Hasive) · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kane Williamson: Mark Lockett · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
_(cropped).jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
_(cropped).jpg){kind=link}
_(cropped).jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
_(cropped).jpg){kind=link}
.jpg){kind=link}
