Rajshahi WarriorsversusSylhet Titans

21 Jan 2026 · T20

Shere Bangla National Stadium, Mirpur · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Rajshahi Warriors won by 12 runs

Rajshahi Warriors20.0 overs165/9 Sylhet Titans20.0 overs153/8 Shere Bangla National Stadium, Mirpur ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Rajshahi Warriors started on 55%; Rajshahi Warriors batted first.

Rajshahi Warriors’s chance of winning (%) · Sylhet Titans is the rest

Rajshahi Warriors's chances ranged from 37% to 100% during the match (Sylhet Titans: 0% to 63%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 12.2: Md Rubel to MM Ali, MM Ali out. Rajshahi Warriors up from 51% to 66%.
2nd inns 13.2: Abdul Gaffar Saqlain to SW Billings, SW Billings out. Rajshahi Warriors up from 51% to 69%.
2nd inns 16.3: Tanzim Hasan Sakib to Afif Hossain, Afif Hossain out. Rajshahi Warriors up from 68% to 83%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.