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Photo: John Sutton
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
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Vitality Blast Women · 2025 · Women
20 Jun 2025 · T20
Riverside Ground, Chester-le-Street · Venue photographRecorded result
Durham started on 49%; Durham batted first.
Durham's chances ranged from 0% to 53% during the match (Essex: 47% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lauren Winfieldcaught · Mady Villiers · Sophia Turner4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mady Villiers · b Sophia Turner | 29 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 131.82 |
| Grace Scrivensstumped · Mia Rogers · Mady Villiers 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Mia Rogers · b Mady Villiers | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 80.00 |
| Jo Gardnerbowled · Mady Villiers 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mady Villiers | 10 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 66.67 |
 Madeline Pennanot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 23* | 33 | 1 | 0 | 69.70 |
| Cordelia Griffithlbw · Katie Levick1 fours · 0 sixes |
| lbw · b Katie Levick |
| 13 |
| 12 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 108.33 |
| Jodi Grewcocknot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 14* | 16 | 0 | 0 | 87.50 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 3 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 8 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Thompson0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 7.33 | 2 | 0 |
| Mady Villiers0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 2 | 4.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Phoebe Turner0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6.00 | 1 | 1 |
| Katie Levick1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 16 | 1 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Sophia Turner0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 8.50 | 5 | 0 |
| Katherine Fraser0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Suzie Bates0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-8 (Grace Scrivens, 1.2) · 2-36 (Jo Gardner, 5.2) · 3-53 (Lauren Winfield, 8.0) · 4-71 (Cordelia Griffith, 11.2)
Recorded target: 102 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 12/1 |
| 3 | 2 | 14/1 |
| 4 | 6 | 20/1 |
| 5 | 12 | 32/1 |
| 6 | 8 | 40/2 |
| 7 | 7 | 47/2 |
| 8 | 6 | 53/3 |
| 9 | 2 | 55/3 |
| 10 | 8 | 63/3 |
| 11 | 8 | 71/3 |
| 12 | 1 | 72/4 |
| 13 | 6 | 78/4 |
| 14 | 0 | 78/4 |
| 15 | 5 | 83/4 |
| 16 | 9 | 92/4 |
| 17 | 8 | 100/4 |
| 18 | 5 | 105/4 |
Madeline Penna: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Lauren Winfield: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Hollie Armitage: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Suzie Bates: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Sophia Smale: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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