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Photo: John Sutton
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Women · 2025 · Women
20 Jun 2025 · T20
Riverside Ground, Chester-le-Street · Venue photographRecorded result
Durham started on 49%; Durham batted first.
Durham's chances ranged from 0% to 53% during the match (Essex: 47% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Suzie Batescaught · Sophia Smale · Esmae MacGregor0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sophia Smale · b Esmae MacGregor | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Leah Dobsonbowled · Esmae MacGregor 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Esmae MacGregor | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 80.00 |
| Mady Villierscaught · Jodi Grewcock · Kate Coppack 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jodi Grewcock · b Kate Coppack | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 57.14 |
 Hollie Armitagenot out3 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 47* | 50 | 3 | 0 | 94.00 |
| Bess Heathcaught · Lauren Winfield · Kate Coppack0 fours · 0 sixes |
| caught · Lauren Winfield · b Kate Coppack |
| 4 |
| 5 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 80.00 |
| Mia Rogersrun out · Sophia Smale · Jodi Grewcock 2 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Sophia Smale | 14 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 87.50 |
|---|
| Katherine Fraserbowled · Sophia Smale 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Sophia Smale | 12 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
| Phoebe Turnerbowled · Eva Gray 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Eva Gray | 5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Grace Thompsonrun out · Madeline Penna · Sophia Smale 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Madeline Penna | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Sophia Turnernot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 3 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esmae MacGregor0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 4.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Kate Coppack0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 5.33 | 1 | 0 |
| Eva Gray0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 4.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Sophia Smale0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Abtaha Maqsood0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 6.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Jodi Grewcock0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-5 (Leah Dobson, 1.0) · 2-10 (Suzie Bates, 2.3) · 3-12 (Mady Villiers, 3.1) · 4-17 (Bess Heath, 4.0) · 5-45 (Mia Rogers, 9.4) · 6-71 (Katherine Fraser, 15.5) · 7-92 (Phoebe Turner, 19.0) · 8-99 (Grace Thompson, 19.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/1 |
| 2 | 5 | 10/1 |
| 3 | 2 | 12/2 |
| 4 | 5 | 17/4 |
| 5 | 2 | 19/4 |
| 6 | 7 | 26/4 |
| 7 | 2 | 28/4 |
| 8 | 3 | 31/4 |
| 9 | 9 | 40/4 |
| 10 | 7 | 47/5 |
| 11 | 4 | 51/5 |
| 12 | 3 | 54/5 |
| 13 | 4 | 58/5 |
| 14 | 4 | 62/5 |
| 15 | 7 | 69/5 |
| 16 | 3 | 72/6 |
| 17 | 9 | 81/6 |
| 18 | 4 | 85/6 |
| 19 | 7 | 92/7 |
| 20 | 9 | 101/8 |
Madeline Penna: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Lauren Winfield: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Hollie Armitage: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Suzie Bates: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
Sophia Smale: Mpk662 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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