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Photo: Michal Klajban
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Super Smash · 2023/24 · Men
11 Jan 2024 · T20
Hagley Oval, Christchurch · Venue photographRecorded result
Wellington started on 43%; Wellington batted first.
Wellington's chances ranged from 38% to 100% during the match (Canterbury: 0% to 63%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chad Bowesbowled · Logan van Beek 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Logan van Beek | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 200.00 |
 Tom Lathamrun out · Michael Bracewell · Michael Bracewell6 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Michael Bracewell | 44 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 129.41 |
| Henry Nichollscaught · Nathan Smith · Peter Younghusband 3 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Nathan Smith · b Peter Younghusband | 41 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 157.69 |
| Cole McConchiecaught · Peter Younghusband · Michael Snedden 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Peter Younghusband · b Michael Snedden | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 111.11 |
| Mitchell Haylbw · Michael Bracewell 1 fours · 0 sixes |
| lbw · b Michael Bracewell |
| 9 |
| 8 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 112.50 |
| Bevon Jacobscaught · Callum McLachlan · Logan van Beek 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Callum McLachlan · b Logan van Beek | 16 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 133.33 |
|---|
| Michael Ripponnot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 25* | 20 | 2 | 0 | 125.00 |
|---|
| Angus McKenziecaught · Nathan Smith · Michael Bracewell 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Nathan Smith · b Michael Bracewell | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Zakary Foulkesnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan van Beek0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 2 | 7.75 | 2 | 0 |
| Nathan Smith0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 9.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Michael Bracewell0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 6.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Michael Snedden0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 6.67 | 2 | 0 |
| Ian McPeake0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Peter Younghusband0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 9.67 | 0 | 0 |
 Muhammad Abbas0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-6 (Chad Bowes, 0.3) · 2-70 (Henry Nicholls, 7.3) · 3-91 (Cole McConchie, 10.1) · 4-112 (Mitchell Hay, 13.2) · 5-112 (Tom Latham, 13.4) · 6-136 (Bevon Jacobs, 16.1) · 7-145 (Angus McKenzie, 17.5)
Recorded target: 185 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/1 |
| 2 | 5 | 12/1 |
| 3 | 13 | 25/1 |
| 4 | 12 | 37/1 |
| 5 | 5 | 42/1 |
| 6 | 15 | 57/1 |
| 7 | 12 | 69/1 |
| 8 | 3 | 72/2 |
| 9 | 8 | 80/2 |
| 10 | 11 | 91/2 |
| 11 | 8 | 99/3 |
| 12 | 2 | 101/3 |
| 13 | 7 | 108/3 |
| 14 | 6 | 114/5 |
| 15 | 7 | 121/5 |
| 16 | 15 | 136/5 |
| 17 | 4 | 140/6 |
| 18 | 5 | 145/7 |
| 19 | 8 | 153/7 |
| 20 | 10 | 163/7 |
Muhammad Abbas: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
William O’Rourke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Callum McLachlan: New Zealand Government, Office of the Governor-General · CC BY 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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