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Photo: Michal Klajban
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Super Smash · 2023/24 · Men
11 Jan 2024 · T20
Hagley Oval, Christchurch · Venue photographRecorded result
Wellington started on 43%; Wellington batted first.
Wellington's chances ranged from 38% to 100% during the match (Canterbury: 0% to 63%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Robinsoncaught · Chad Bowes · Angus McKenzie 10 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Chad Bowes · b Angus McKenzie | 86 | 46 | 10 | 3 | 186.96 |
| Nick Greenwoodcaught · William O’Rourke · Zakary Foulkes 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · William O’Rourke · b Zakary Foulkes | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 57.14 |
| Nick Kellynot out 5 fours · 3 sixes | not out | 72* | 48 | 5 | 3 | 150.00 |
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Cole McConchie · b Angus McKenzie | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Michael Bracewellcaught · Fraser Sheat · William O’Rourke 0 fours · 0 sixes |
| 4 |
| 7 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 57.14 |
1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · William O’Rourke · b Angus McKenzie | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 112.50 |
|---|
| Nathan Smithnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zakary Foulkes0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 7.25 | 0 | 0 |
| 4.0 | 0 | 41 | 1 | 10.25 | 4 | 0 | |
| Fraser Sheat0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Angus McKenzie0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 15 | 3 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Cole McConchie0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 29 | 0 | 14.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Michael Rippon0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 36 | 0 | 9.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-16 (Nick Greenwood, 2.2) · 2-110 (Tim Robinson, 12.2) · 3-114 (Muhammad Abbas, 13.0) · 4-155 (Michael Bracewell, 16.4) · 5-180 (Callum McLachlan, 19.3)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 9 | 13/0 |
| 3 | 8 | 21/1 |
| 4 | 11 | 32/1 |
| 5 | 14 | 46/1 |
| 6 | 5 | 51/1 |
| 7 | 6 | 57/1 |
| 8 | 13 | 70/1 |
| 9 | 16 | 86/1 |
| 10 | 4 | 90/1 |
| 11 | 10 | 100/1 |
| 12 | 9 | 109/1 |
| 13 | 5 | 114/3 |
| 14 | 5 | 119/3 |
| 15 | 16 | 135/3 |
| 16 | 18 | 153/3 |
| 17 | 3 | 156/4 |
| 18 | 7 | 163/4 |
| 19 | 15 | 178/4 |
| 20 | 6 | 184/5 |
Muhammad Abbas: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
William O’Rourke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Callum McLachlan: New Zealand Government, Office of the Governor-General · CC BY 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.