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Photo: Nelsonpubliclibraries
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Super Smash · 2024/25 · Men
4 Jan 2025 · T20
Saxton Oval, Nelson · Venue photographRecorded result
Wellington started on 48%; Wellington batted first.
Wellington's chances ranged from 15% to 99% during the match (Central Districts: 1% to 85%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Boylecaught · Jesse Tashkoff · Peter Younghusband 4 fours · 4 sixes | caught · Jesse Tashkoff · b Peter Younghusband | 66 | 45 | 4 | 4 | 146.67 |
| Curtis Heaphycaught · Tim Robinson · James Hartshorn 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tim Robinson · b James Hartshorn | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Dane Cleavercaught · Gareth Severin · James Hartshorn 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Gareth Severin · b James Hartshorn | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Tom Brucebowled · Logan van Beek 3 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Logan van Beek | 24 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 184.62 |
| Josh Clarksoncaught · James Hartshorn · Peter Younghusband 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · James Hartshorn · b Peter Younghusband | 22 | 20 | 2 |
| 1 |
| 110.00 |
| Will Clarkcaught · Peter Younghusband · Logan van Beek 0 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Peter Younghusband · b Logan van Beek | 23 | 17 | 0 | 2 | 135.29 |
|---|
| AR Schawcaught · Gareth Severin · Logan van Beek 3 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Gareth Severin · b Logan van Beek | 32 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 213.33 |
|---|
| Joey Fieldcaught · Tom Blundell · James Hartshorn 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Blundell · b James Hartshorn | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Jayden Lennoxnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Troy Johnson · b James Hartshorn | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Brett Randellcaught · Muhammad Abbas · James Hartshorn 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Muhammad Abbas · b James Hartshorn | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan van Beek0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 3 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
| James Hartshorn0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 5 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| 3.0 | 0 | 33 | 0 | 11.00 | 1 | 0 | |
| 4.0 | 0 | 43 | 0 | 10.75 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nick Greenwood0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Peter Younghusband0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 39 | 2 | 9.75 | 2 | 0 |
1-9 (Curtis Heaphy, 1.2) · 2-9 (Dane Cleaver, 1.3) · 3-44 (Tom Bruce, 4.5) · 4-98 (Josh Clarkson, 11.4) · 5-122 (Jack Boyle, 14.5) · 6-174 (AR Schaw, 18.4) · 7-175 (Will Clark, 19.0) · 8-177 (Joey Field, 19.2) · 9-177 (Blair Tickner, 19.3) · 10-179 (Brett Randell, 20.0)
Recorded target: 191 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 13/2 |
| 3 | 10 | 23/2 |
| 4 | 11 | 34/2 |
| 5 | 10 | 44/3 |
| 6 | 8 | 52/3 |
| 7 | 8 | 60/3 |
| 8 | 9 | 69/3 |
| 9 | 10 | 79/3 |
| 10 | 8 | 87/3 |
| 11 | 8 | 95/3 |
| 12 | 5 | 100/4 |
| 13 | 8 | 108/4 |
| 14 | 9 | 117/4 |
| 15 | 6 | 123/5 |
| 16 | 15 | 138/5 |
| 17 | 16 | 154/5 |
| 18 | 19 | 173/5 |
| 19 | 2 | 175/7 |
| 20 | 4 | 179/10 |
Muhammad Abbas: JaumeBG · CC BY-SA 4.0
Gareth Severin: New Zealand Government, Office of the Governor-General · CC BY 4.0
Jesse Tashkoff: New Zealand Government, Office of the Governor-General · CC BY 4.0
Tom Blundell: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Blair Tickner: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.