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Pakistan tour of England · 2026 · Men
19 Aug 2026 · Test
Headingley · Venue photographRecorded result
England more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ben Duckettlbw · Mohammad Abbas0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Mohammad Abbas | 15 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 53.57 |
| Emilio Gaycaught · Salman Ali Agha · Mohammad Ali 7 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Salman Ali Agha · b Mohammad Ali | 33 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 106.45 |
| Jordan Coxcaught · Mohammad Rizwan · Ali Usman 14 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mohammad Rizwan · b Ali Usman | 73 | 100 | 14 | 0 | 73.00 |
 Joe Rootlbw · Khurram Shehzad10 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Khurram Shehzad | 66 | 112 | 10 | 0 | 58.93 |
 Harry Brookbowled · Ali Usman13 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| bowled · b Ali Usman |
| 91 |
| 93 |
| 13 |
| 0 |
| 97.85 |
 Daniel Lawrencecaught · Mohammad Rizwan · Ali Usman9 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mohammad Rizwan · b Ali Usman | 51 | 79 | 9 | 0 | 64.56 |
|---|
 Jamie Smithcaught · Shan Masood · Khurram Shehzad2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Shan Masood · b Khurram Shehzad | 25 | 52 | 2 | 0 | 48.08 |
|---|
| Gus Atkinsonlbw · Ali Usman 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Ali Usman | 3 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
 Ollie Robinsonbowled · Ali Usman0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Ali Usman | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Jofra Archernot out2 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 23* | 25 | 2 | 1 | 92.00 |
|---|
| Josh Tonguebowled · Khurram Shehzad 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Khurram Shehzad | 8 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 10 · wides: 0 · noballs: 7 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Mohammad Abbas5 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 25.0 | 5 | 78 | 1 | 3.12 | 0 | 1 |
| Khurram Shehzad1 maidens · 0 wides · 5 no-balls | 21.5 | 1 | 133 | 3 | 6.09 | 0 | 5 |
| Mohammad Ali2 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 19.0 | 2 | 89 | 1 | 4.68 | 0 | 1 |
| Ali Usman1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 24.0 | 1 | 95 | 5 | 3.96 | 0 | 0 |
1-36 (Ben Duckett, 8.5) · 2-48 (Emilio Gay, 10.0) · 3-198 (Jordan Cox, 44.0) · 4-202 (Joe Root, 44.4) · 5-322 (Daniel Lawrence, 69.4) · 6-356 (Harry Brook, 75.2) · 7-364 (Gus Atkinson, 79.4) · 8-364 (Ollie Robinson, 79.5) · 9-392 (Jamie Smith, 87.2) · 10-409 (Josh Tongue, 89.5)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 7/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 11/0 |
| 4 | 2 | 13/0 |
| 5 | 8 | 21/0 |
| 6 | 6 | 27/0 |
| 7 | 5 | 32/0 |
| 8 | 4 | 36/0 |
| 9 | 0 | 36/1 |
| 10 | 12 | 48/2 |
| 11 | 6 | 54/2 |
| 12 | 1 | 55/2 |
| 13 | 0 | 55/2 |
| 14 | 12 | 67/2 |
| 15 | 1 | 68/2 |
| 16 | 4 | 72/2 |
| 17 | 2 | 74/2 |
| 18 | 12 | 86/2 |
| 19 | 4 | 90/2 |
| 20 | 1 | 91/2 |
| 21 | 3 | 94/2 |
| 22 | 4 | 98/2 |
| 23 | 5 | 103/2 |
| 24 | 8 | 111/2 |
| 25 | 1 | 112/2 |
| 26 | 1 | 113/2 |
| 27 | 4 | 117/2 |
| 28 | 2 | 119/2 |
| 29 | 1 | 120/2 |
| 30 | 17 | 137/2 |
| 31 | 2 | 139/2 |
| 32 | 0 | 139/2 |
| 33 | 2 | 141/2 |
| 34 | 0 | 141/2 |
| 35 | 0 | 141/2 |
| 36 | 8 | 149/2 |
| 37 | 2 | 151/2 |
| 38 | 11 | 162/2 |
| 39 | 9 | 171/2 |
| 40 | 4 | 175/2 |
| 41 | 12 | 187/2 |
| 42 | 4 | 191/2 |
| 43 | 0 | 191/2 |
| 44 | 7 | 198/3 |
| 45 | 6 | 204/4 |
| 46 | 1 | 205/4 |
| 47 | 8 | 213/4 |
| 48 | 1 | 214/4 |
| 49 | 8 | 222/4 |
| 50 | 2 | 224/4 |
| 51 | 4 | 228/4 |
| 52 | 5 | 233/4 |
| 53 | 0 | 233/4 |
| 54 | 6 | 239/4 |
| 55 | 9 | 248/4 |
| 56 | 5 | 253/4 |
| 57 | 3 | 256/4 |
| 58 | 8 | 264/4 |
| 59 | 0 | 264/4 |
| 60 | 7 | 271/4 |
| 61 | 8 | 279/4 |
| 62 | 4 | 283/4 |
| 63 | 6 | 289/4 |
| 64 | 4 | 293/4 |
| 65 | 1 | 294/4 |
| 66 | 4 | 298/4 |
| 67 | 9 | 307/4 |
| 68 | 2 | 309/4 |
| 69 | 8 | 317/4 |
| 70 | 5 | 322/5 |
| 71 | 3 | 325/5 |
| 72 | 6 | 331/5 |
| 73 | 9 | 340/5 |
| 74 | 5 | 345/5 |
| 75 | 9 | 354/5 |
| 76 | 2 | 356/6 |
| 77 | 4 | 360/6 |
| 78 | 0 | 360/6 |
| 79 | 3 | 363/6 |
| 80 | 1 | 364/8 |
| 81 | 1 | 365/8 |
| 82 | 1 | 366/8 |
| 83 | 1 | 367/8 |
| 84 | 3 | 370/8 |
| 85 | 5 | 375/8 |
| 86 | 10 | 385/8 |
| 87 | 7 | 392/8 |
| 88 | 7 | 399/9 |
| 89 | 4 | 403/9 |
| 90 | 6 | 409/10 |
Daniel Lawrence: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Imam-ul-Haq: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Mohammad Abbas: Dave Morton · Public domain
Harry Brook: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jofra Archer: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mohammad Rizwan: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Jamie Smith: Dave Morton · Public domain
Joe Root: Dave Morton · Public domain
Abdullah Shafique: Dave Morton · Public domain
Shan Masood: Balochistan Social News · CC BY 3.0
Saud Shakeel: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Robinson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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