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Pakistan tour of England · 2026 · Men
19 Aug 2026 · Test
Headingley · Venue photographRecorded result
England more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Azan Awaislbw · Ollie Robinson 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Ollie Robinson | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
 Imam-ul-Haqcaught · Harry Brook · Josh Tongue6 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harry Brook · b Josh Tongue | 42 | 74 | 6 | 0 | 56.76 |
 Shan Masoodlbw · Ollie Robinson0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Ollie Robinson | 5 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
 Abdullah Shafiquebowled · Ollie Robinson8 fours · 0 sixes | bowled |
| 61 |
| 104 |
| 8 |
| 0 |
| 58.65 |
 Saud Shakeellbw · Ollie Robinson1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Ollie Robinson | 5 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
| Salman Ali Aghabowled · Josh Tongue 4 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Josh Tongue | 21 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 72.41 |
|---|
 Mohammad Rizwanlbw · Josh Tongue1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Josh Tongue | 12 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 63.16 |
|---|
| Ali Usmanlbw · Josh Tongue 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Josh Tongue | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Khurram Shehzadcaught · Gus Atkinson · Ollie Robinson 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Gus Atkinson · b Ollie Robinson | 14 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 116.67 |
|---|
 Mohammad Abbasbowled · Josh Tongue0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Josh Tongue | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
| Mohammad Alinot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 0 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ollie Robinson3 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 18.0 | 3 | 51 | 5 | 2.83 | 0 | 1 |
 Jofra Archer4 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 4 | 26 | 0 | 2.89 | 0 | 0 |
| Gus Atkinson1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 12.0 | 1 | 40 | 0 | 3.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Josh Tongue0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.1 | 0 | 46 | 5 | 5.02 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Azan Awais, 0.1) · 2-6 (Shan Masood, 4.5) · 3-97 (Imam-ul-Haq, 28.1) · 4-117 (Saud Shakeel, 35.5) · 5-118 (Abdullah Shafique, 37.3) · 6-150 (Salman Ali Agha, 44.3) · 7-150 (Ali Usman, 44.4) · 8-159 (Mohammad Rizwan, 46.3) · 9-171 (Khurram Shehzad, 48.0) · 10-171 (Mohammad Abbas, 48.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/1 |
| 2 | 0 | 2/1 |
| 3 | 1 | 3/1 |
| 4 | 0 | 3/1 |
| 5 | 4 | 7/2 |
| 6 | 4 | 11/2 |
| 7 | 0 | 11/2 |
| 8 | 3 | 14/2 |
| 9 | 5 | 19/2 |
| 10 | 6 | 25/2 |
| 11 | 3 | 28/2 |
| 12 | 3 | 31/2 |
| 13 | 7 | 38/2 |
| 14 | 4 | 42/2 |
| 15 | 1 | 43/2 |
| 16 | 5 | 48/2 |
| 17 | 0 | 48/2 |
| 18 | 6 | 54/2 |
| 19 | 12 | 66/2 |
| 20 | 2 | 68/2 |
| 21 | 1 | 69/2 |
| 22 | 1 | 70/2 |
| 23 | 1 | 71/2 |
| 24 | 10 | 81/2 |
| 25 | 7 | 88/2 |
| 26 | 0 | 88/2 |
| 27 | 7 | 95/2 |
| 28 | 2 | 97/2 |
| 29 | 4 | 101/3 |
| 30 | 3 | 104/3 |
| 31 | 0 | 104/3 |
| 32 | 4 | 108/3 |
| 33 | 1 | 109/3 |
| 34 | 0 | 109/3 |
| 35 | 5 | 114/3 |
| 36 | 3 | 117/4 |
| 37 | 1 | 118/4 |
| 38 | 2 | 120/5 |
| 39 | 3 | 123/5 |
| 40 | 4 | 127/5 |
| 41 | 2 | 129/5 |
| 42 | 4 | 133/5 |
| 43 | 10 | 143/5 |
| 44 | 2 | 145/5 |
| 45 | 9 | 154/7 |
| 46 | 5 | 159/7 |
| 47 | 5 | 164/8 |
| 48 | 7 | 171/9 |
| 49 | 0 | 171/10 |
Daniel Lawrence: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Imam-ul-Haq: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Mohammad Abbas: Dave Morton · Public domain
Harry Brook: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jofra Archer: Ben Sutherland from Crystal Palace, London, UK · CC BY 2.0
Ben Duckett: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Mohammad Rizwan: ICNA · CC BY 3.0
Jamie Smith: Dave Morton · Public domain
Joe Root: Dave Morton · Public domain
Abdullah Shafique: Dave Morton · Public domain
Shan Masood: Balochistan Social News · CC BY 3.0
Saud Shakeel: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Robinson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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