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Viking Cup · 2025 · Men
9 Aug 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Norway more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Norway started on 70%; Norway batted first.
Norway's chances ranged from 64% to 100% during the match (Sweden: 0% to 36%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Imal Zuwakcaught · Qamar Mushtaque · D Abeyrathna 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Qamar Mushtaque · b D Abeyrathna | 30 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 115.38 |
| Awais Ahmadcaught · Adnan Shnwarei · Ahmadullah Shinwari 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Adnan Shnwarei · b Ahmadullah Shinwari | 17 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 106.25 |
| A Mundracaught · Ibrahim Rahimi · D Abeyrathna 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ibrahim Rahimi · b D Abeyrathna | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 87.50 |
| Samarth Shettycaught · Ibrahim Rahimi · M Shahbaz Butt 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Ibrahim Rahimi · b M Shahbaz Butt | 16 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 106.67 |
| Ihsanullah Wafaretired hurt · Ahmadullah Shinwari 0 fours · 3 sixes | retired hurt | 32* | 26 | 0 | 3 | 123.08 |
| Samiullah Rahmanicaught · Ibrahim Rahimi · Qamar Mushtaque 1 fours · 3 sixes |
|---|
| caught · Ibrahim Rahimi · b Qamar Mushtaque |
| 29 |
| 18 |
| 1 |
| 3 |
| 161.11 |
| Khalid Zahidcaught · D Abeyrathna · Vinay Ravi 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · D Abeyrathna · b Vinay Ravi | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Abdul Naser Baluchcaught · Ibrahim Rahimi · Qamar Mushtaque 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ibrahim Rahimi · b Qamar Mushtaque | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Aritra Bhakatlbw · Qamar Mushtaque 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Qamar Mushtaque | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Syed Ali Gillaninot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| A Dhabecaught · Ahmadullah Shinwari · Vinay Ravi 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ahmadullah Shinwari · b Vinay Ravi | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 6 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 11 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vinay Ravi0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.4 | 0 | 41 | 2 | 11.18 | 4 | 0 |
| Ahmadullah Shinwari0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 22 | 1 | 5.50 | 3 | 0 |
| Qamar Mushtaque0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 3 | 6.25 | 3 | 0 |
| D Abeyrathna0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 8.33 | 0 | 0 |
| M Shahbaz Butt0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 6.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Adnan Shnwarei0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-48 (Awais Ahmad, 5.4) · 2-63 (A Mundra, 8.1) · 3-64 (Imal Zuwak, 8.4) · 4-107 (Samarth Shetty, 13.4) · 5-151 (Samiullah Rahmani, 18.1) · 6-151 (Abdul Naser Baluch, 18.2) · 7-156 (Aritra Bhakat, 19.0) · 8-156 (Khalid Zahid, 19.1) · 9-156 (A Dhabe, 19.4)
Recorded target: 180 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 12/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 17/0 |
| 3 | 9 | 26/0 |
| 4 | 9 | 35/0 |
| 5 | 8 | 43/0 |
| 6 | 5 | 48/1 |
| 7 | 7 | 55/1 |
| 8 | 8 | 63/1 |
| 9 | 2 | 65/3 |
| 10 | 9 | 74/3 |
| 11 | 18 | 92/3 |
| 12 | 4 | 96/3 |
| 13 | 8 | 104/3 |
| 14 | 4 | 108/4 |
| 15 | 5 | 113/4 |
| 16 | 20 | 133/4 |
| 17 | 9 | 142/4 |
| 18 | 9 | 151/4 |
| 19 | 5 | 156/7 |
| 20 | 0 | 156/9 |
Khizer Ahmed: Khizer22 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.