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ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 · 2024 · Men
21 Aug 2024 · ODI
Recorded result
Netherlands more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Netherlands started on 69%; Netherlands batted first.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Taylorcaught · Scott Edwards · Vivian Kingma 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Scott Edwards · b Vivian Kingma | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Smit Patellbw · Kyle Klein 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Kyle Klein | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 30.00 |
| Monank Patelcaught and bowled · Aryan Dutt 8 fours · 1 sixes | caught and bowled · b Aryan Dutt | 66 | 79 | 8 | 1 | 83.54 |
| Aaron Joneslbw · Kyle Klein 2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Kyle Klein | 8 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 72.73 |
| Milind Kumarbowled · Paul van Meekeren 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Paul van Meekeren | 9 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 50.00 |
Netherlands's chances ranged from 36% to 98% during the match (United States of America: 2% to 64%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| run out · Scott Edwards |
| 20 |
| 37 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 54.05 |
| Abhishek Paradkarcaught · Scott Edwards · Paul van Meekeren 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Scott Edwards · b Paul van Meekeren | 12 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
| Harmeet Singhcaught · Aryan Dutt · Paul van Meekeren 1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Aryan Dutt · b Paul van Meekeren | 20 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 111.11 |
|---|
| Shadley van Schalkwyklbw · Kyle Klein 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Kyle Klein | 12 | 41 | 0 | 0 | 29.27 |
|---|
| Nosthush Kenjigelbw · Kyle Klein 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Kyle Klein | 17 | 21 | 1 | 0 | 80.95 |
|---|
| J Drysdalenot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 6 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 6 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Kingma0 maidens · 3 wides · 1 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 41 | 1 | 4.56 | 3 | 1 |
| Kyle Klein1 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.5 | 1 | 32 | 4 | 3.25 | 2 | 0 |
| Paul van Meekeren0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 3.44 | 1 | 0 |
| Clayton Floyd0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 3.88 | 0 | 0 |
| Aryan Dutt0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 36 | 1 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Musa Ahmed0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-1 (Steven Taylor, 0.5) · 2-25 (Smit Patel, 5.1) · 3-39 (Aaron Jones, 8.0) · 4-58 (Milind Kumar, 14.1) · 5-105 (Shayan Jahangir, 25.2) · 6-115 (Monank Patel, 28.1) · 7-137 (Harmeet Singh, 31.4) · 8-154 (Abhishek Paradkar, 38.3) · 9-172 (Shadley van Schalkwyk, 43.3) · 10-179 (Nosthush Kenjige, 45.5)
Recorded target: 207 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| 2 | 2 | 3/1 |
| 3 | 9 | 12/1 |
| 4 | 8 | 20/1 |
| 5 | 5 | 25/1 |
| 6 | 4 | 29/2 |
| 7 | 5 | 34/2 |
| 8 | 5 | 39/3 |
| 9 | 4 | 43/3 |
| 10 | 3 | 46/3 |
| 11 | 5 | 51/3 |
| 12 | 0 | 51/3 |
| 13 | 2 | 53/3 |
| 14 | 5 | 58/3 |
| 15 | 2 | 60/4 |
| 16 | 2 | 62/4 |
| 17 | 4 | 66/4 |
| 18 | 4 | 70/4 |
| 19 | 5 | 75/4 |
| 20 | 4 | 79/4 |
| 21 | 4 | 83/4 |
| 22 | 2 | 85/4 |
| 23 | 5 | 90/4 |
| 24 | 6 | 96/4 |
| 25 | 8 | 104/4 |
| 26 | 2 | 106/5 |
| 27 | 4 | 110/5 |
| 28 | 5 | 115/5 |
| 29 | 7 | 122/6 |
| 30 | 8 | 130/6 |
| 31 | 1 | 131/6 |
| 32 | 6 | 137/7 |
| 33 | 2 | 139/7 |
| 34 | 1 | 140/7 |
| 35 | 2 | 142/7 |
| 36 | 1 | 143/7 |
| 37 | 5 | 148/7 |
| 38 | 3 | 151/7 |
| 39 | 4 | 155/8 |
| 40 | 6 | 161/8 |
| 41 | 4 | 165/8 |
| 42 | 3 | 168/8 |
| 43 | 4 | 172/8 |
| 44 | 1 | 173/9 |
| 45 | 4 | 177/9 |
| 46 | 2 | 179/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.