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ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 · 2025 · Men
19 May 2025 · ODI
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Oman started on 48%; Oman batted first.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YS Samrarun out · Hammad Mirza, Muhammed Imran · Muhammed Imran 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Hammad Mirza, Muhammed Imran | 7 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 46.67 |
| Navneet Dhaliwallbw · Shakeel Ahmed 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Shakeel Ahmed | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Pargat Singhbowled · Samay Shrivastava 12 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Samay Shrivastava | 85 | 104 | 12 | 0 | 81.73 |
| Harsh Thakercaught · Pruthvikumar Macchi · Samay Shrivastava 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Pruthvikumar Macchi · b Samay Shrivastava | 33 | 71 | 3 | 0 | 46.48 |
 Saad Bin Zafarcaught · Mohammad Nadeem · Samay Shrivastava0 fours · 0 sixes |
Oman's chances ranged from 9% to 96% during the match (Canada: 4% to 91%).
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Shreyas Movvacaught · Hammad Mirza · Shakeel Ahmed 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Hammad Mirza · b Shakeel Ahmed | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Mansab Gillbowled · Shakeel Ahmed 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Shakeel Ahmed | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Shivam Sharma (3)caught · Mohammad Nadeem · Aamir Kaleem 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Mohammad Nadeem · b Aamir Kaleem | 37 | 52 | 2 | 1 | 71.15 |
|---|
| Dillon Heyligercaught · Vinayak Shukla · Mujibur Ali 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Vinayak Shukla · b Mujibur Ali | 18 | 29 | 0 | 0 | 62.07 |
|---|
| J Matharunot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 7* | 9 | 1 | 0 | 77.78 |
|---|
| Kaleem Sanacaught · Hammad Mirza · Sufyan Mehmood 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Hammad Mirza · b Sufyan Mehmood | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 7 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shakeel Ahmed1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 41 | 3 | 4.10 | 0 | 0 |
| Muhammed Imran0 maidens · 5 wides · 1 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 37 | 0 | 6.17 | 5 | 1 |
| Mohammad Nadeem0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Sufyan Mehmood0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 0 | 37 | 1 | 4.11 | 1 | 0 |
| Aamir Kaleem1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 46 | 1 | 4.60 | 0 | 0 |
| Samay Shrivastava0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 10.0 | 0 | 31 | 3 | 3.10 | 1 | 1 |
| Mujibur Ali0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-1 (Navneet Dhaliwal, 0.4) · 2-30 (YS Samra, 7.3) · 3-110 (Harsh Thaker, 27.4) · 4-110 (Saad Bin Zafar, 27.5) · 5-113 (Shreyas Movva, 29.0) · 6-115 (Mansab Gill, 30.3) · 7-147 (Pargat Singh, 37.3) · 8-190 (Shivam Sharma (3), 45.5) · 9-197 (Dillon Heyliger, 47.3) · 10-202 (Kaleem Sana, 49.0)
Recorded target: 218 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| 2 | 1 | 2/1 |
| 3 | 7 | 9/1 |
| 4 | 2 | 11/1 |
| 5 | 9 | 20/1 |
| 6 | 9 | 29/1 |
| 7 | 0 | 29/1 |
| 8 | 7 | 36/2 |
| 9 | 1 | 37/2 |
| 10 | 2 | 39/2 |
| 11 | 1 | 40/2 |
| 12 | 2 | 42/2 |
| 13 | 4 | 46/2 |
| 14 | 5 | 51/2 |
| 15 | 1 | 52/2 |
| 16 | 3 | 55/2 |
| 17 | 2 | 57/2 |
| 18 | 6 | 63/2 |
| 19 | 6 | 69/2 |
| 20 | 5 | 74/2 |
| 21 | 3 | 77/2 |
| 22 | 3 | 80/2 |
| 23 | 3 | 83/2 |
| 24 | 1 | 84/2 |
| 25 | 8 | 92/2 |
| 26 | 5 | 97/2 |
| 27 | 13 | 110/2 |
| 28 | 1 | 111/4 |
| 29 | 2 | 113/5 |
| 30 | 1 | 114/5 |
| 31 | 1 | 115/6 |
| 32 | 3 | 118/6 |
| 33 | 3 | 121/6 |
| 34 | 4 | 125/6 |
| 35 | 0 | 125/6 |
| 36 | 3 | 128/6 |
| 37 | 14 | 142/6 |
| 38 | 5 | 147/7 |
| 39 | 5 | 152/7 |
| 40 | 8 | 160/7 |
| 41 | 7 | 167/7 |
| 42 | 10 | 177/7 |
| 43 | 3 | 180/7 |
| 44 | 3 | 183/7 |
| 45 | 4 | 187/7 |
| 46 | 3 | 190/8 |
| 47 | 6 | 196/8 |
| 48 | 1 | 197/9 |
| 49 | 5 | 202/10 |
Saad Bin Zafar: Apnagm · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
