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Women's T20 Quadrangular Series (in Uganda) · 2024/25 · Women
14 Mar 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Uganda more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Uganda started on 53%; Uganda batted first.
Uganda's chances ranged from 42% to 100% during the match (Namibia: 0% to 58%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sune Wittmannrun out · Prosscovia Alako, Kevin Awino · Irene Mutonyi 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Prosscovia Alako, Kevin Awino | 8 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 80.00 |
| Kayleen Greenbowled · Irene Mutonyi 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Irene Mutonyi | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 14.29 |
| Yasmeen Khanrun out · Malisa Ariokot, Kevin Awino · Concy Aweko 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Malisa Ariokot, Kevin Awino | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Wilka Mwatilerun out · Prosscovia Alako, Irene Mutonyi · Irene Mutonyi 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Prosscovia Alako, Irene Mutonyi | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| E Van Zylcaught · Kevin Awino · Immaculate Nakisuuyi 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kevin Awino · b Immaculate Nakisuuyi | 8 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 38.10 |
| Arrasta Diergaardtlbw · Janet Mbabazi 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Janet Mbabazi | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 80.00 |
|---|
| M Gorasesstumped · Kevin Awino · S Akiteng 1 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Kevin Awino · b S Akiteng | 10 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| M Mwatilerun out · Janet Mbabazi, Kevin Awino · S Akiteng 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Janet Mbabazi, Kevin Awino | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Sylvia Shihepocaught · Janet Mbabazi · Immaculate Nakisuuyi 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Janet Mbabazi · b Immaculate Nakisuuyi | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 14.29 |
|---|
| Eveleen Kejarukuacaught · Rita Musamali · Concy Aweko 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rita Musamali · b Concy Aweko | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| S Tuhadeleninot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 7 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Irene Mutonyi0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Concy Aweko0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1.29 | 0 | 0 |
| Janet Mbabazi0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| S Akiteng1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 13 | 1 | 3.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Immaculate Nakisuuyi0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 3.25 | 6 | 0 |
1-9 (Sune Wittmann, 2.2) · 2-10 (Kayleen Green, 3.0) · 3-11 (Yasmeen Khan, 3.5) · 4-12 (Wilka Mwatile, 4.3) · 5-16 (Arrasta Diergaardt, 5.5) · 6-33 (E Van Zyl, 10.0) · 7-33 (M Mwatile, 10.3) · 8-40 (M Gorases, 12.4) · 9-43 (Sylvia Shihepo, 13.3) · 10-45 (Eveleen Kejarukua, 14.2)
Recorded target: 120 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 9/0 |
| 3 | 1 | 10/2 |
| 4 | 1 | 11/3 |
| 5 | 1 | 12/4 |
| 6 | 4 | 16/5 |
| 7 | 5 | 21/5 |
| 8 | 1 | 22/5 |
| 9 | 7 | 29/5 |
| 10 | 4 | 33/6 |
| 11 | 0 | 33/7 |
| 12 | 5 | 38/7 |
| 13 | 2 | 40/8 |
| 14 | 5 | 45/9 |
| 15 | 0 | 45/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.