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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Americas Region Final · 2025 · Men
21 Jun 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Canada more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Bahamas started on 6%; Bahamas batted first.
Bahamas's chances ranged from 0% to 6% during the match (Canada: 94% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| YS Samracaught · J Gallimore · Festus Benn 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · J Gallimore · b Festus Benn | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 125.00 |
| Dilpreet Bajwanot out 5 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 36* | 14 | 5 | 1 | 257.14 |
| Nicholas Kirtoncaught · E Duff · K Hinds 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · E Duff · b K Hinds | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
| Harsh Thakercaught and bowled · K Hinds 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught and bowled · b K Hinds | 14 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 175.00 |
| Ravinderpal Singhnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 1 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K Hinds0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 33 | 2 | 11.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Festus Benn0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| A Gulati0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.3 | 0 | 22 | 0 | 14.67 | 0 | 0 |
1-18 (YS Samra, 1.2) · 2-25 (Nicholas Kirton, 2.3) · 3-43 (Harsh Thaker, 4.2)
Recorded target: 58 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | 15/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 20/1 |
| 3 | 9 | 29/2 |
| 4 | 14 | 43/2 |
| 5 | 10 | 53/3 |
| 6 | 8 | 61/3 |
Saad Bin Zafar: Apnagm · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
