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Myanmar tour of Indonesia · 2024/25 · Men
12 Nov 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Too close to call
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Indonesia started on 47%; Indonesia batted first.
Indonesia's chances ranged from 47% to 100% during the match (Myanmar: 0% to 53%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paing Danucaught · Anjar Tadarus · RM Koda 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Anjar Tadarus · b RM Koda | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Pyae Phyo Waibowled · F Banunaek 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b F Banunaek | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Htet Lin Aungbowled · AA Rahayu 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b AA Rahayu | 12 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 63.16 |
| Khin Ayecaught · Anjar Tadarus · Ketut Artawan 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Anjar Tadarus · b Ketut Artawan | 11 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Thuya Aungcaught · Dharma Kesuma · Kadek Gamantika 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dharma Kesuma · b Kadek Gamantika | 8 | 25 | 0 | 0 | 32.00 |
| caught · Gede Priandana · b Ketut Artawan |
| 1 |
| 6 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 16.67 |
| Htet Lin Oocaught · RM Koda · Gede Arta 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · RM Koda · b Gede Arta | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 42.86 |
|---|
| Swann Htet Ko Kocaught · Anjar Tadarus · Kadek Gamantika 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Anjar Tadarus · b Kadek Gamantika | 9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 180.00 |
|---|
| Nyein Cham Soenot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 5* | 7 | 0 | 0 | 71.43 |
|---|
| Lwin Mawbowled · Gede Arta 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Gede Arta | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
| Hein Zin Aungcaught · Ahmad Ramdoni · AA Rahayu 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ahmad Ramdoni · b AA Rahayu | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RM Koda0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| F Banunaek1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.50 | 0 | 0 |
| Danilson Hawoe0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
| AA Rahayu0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.3 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 4.40 | 1 | 0 |
| Ketut Artawan0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 1.67 | 1 | 0 |
| Kadek Gamantika0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 3.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Gede Arta1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
1-0 (Paing Danu, 0.2) · 2-6 (Pyae Phyo Wai, 2.0) · 3-13 (Htet Lin Aung, 5.1) · 4-27 (Khin Aye, 9.0) · 5-31 (Ko Ko Lin Thu, 11.0) · 6-37 (Thuya Aung, 13.2) · 7-41 (Htet Lin Oo, 14.1) · 8-51 (Swann Htet Ko Ko, 15.3) · 9-55 (Lwin Maw, 16.2) · 10-56 (Hein Zin Aung, 17.3)
Recorded target: 193 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/1 |
| 2 | 1 | 6/2 |
| 3 | 5 | 11/2 |
| 4 | 1 | 12/2 |
| 5 | 1 | 13/2 |
| 6 | 1 | 14/3 |
| 7 | 3 | 17/3 |
| 8 | 9 | 26/3 |
| 9 | 1 | 27/4 |
| 10 | 3 | 30/4 |
| 11 | 1 | 31/5 |
| 12 | 3 | 34/5 |
| 13 | 3 | 37/5 |
| 14 | 4 | 41/6 |
| 15 | 9 | 50/7 |
| 16 | 5 | 55/8 |
| 17 | 0 | 55/9 |
| 18 | 1 | 56/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.