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Photo: Paul Williams from United Kingdom
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
5 Jul 2026 · T20
The County Ground, Chelmsford · Venue photographRecorded result
Essex started on 63%; Essex batted first.
Essex's chances ranged from 2% to 64% during the match (Middlesex: 36% to 98%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh de Cairescaught · Paul Walter · Simon Harmer 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Paul Walter · b Simon Harmer | 15 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 107.14 |
| Matt Boylecaught · Mackenzie Jones · Shane Snater 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Mackenzie Jones · b Shane Snater | 12 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 133.33 |
| Max Holdencaught · Mackenzie Jones · Sam Cook 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mackenzie Jones · b Sam Cook | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 42.86 |
 Leus du Plooycaught · Jordan Cox · Matthew Critchley4 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Jordan Cox · b Matthew Critchley | 38 | 24 | 4 | 2 | 158.33 |
| Ben Geddesbowled · Simon Harmer 0 fours · 0 sixes |
| 1 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 50.00 |
| Joe Cracknellcaught · Mackenzie Jones · Sam Cook 5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Mackenzie Jones · b Sam Cook | 35 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 129.63 |
|---|
 Luke Hollmannot out3 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 32* | 27 | 3 | 1 | 118.52 |
|---|
 Zafar Goharnot out0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 3* | 4 | 0 | 0 | 75.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Shane Snater0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 39 | 1 | 9.75 | 1 | 0 |
 Sam Cook0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 2 | 6.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Simon Harmer0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 3.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Matthew Critchley0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 1 | 8.50 | 2 | 0 |
 Zaman Akhter0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Mackenzie Jones0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 11.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-17 (Matt Boyle, 2.2) · 2-20 (Max Holden, 3.3) · 3-53 (Josh de Caires, 7.0) · 4-58 (Ben Geddes, 8.3) · 5-74 (Leus du Plooy, 9.5) · 6-126 (Joe Cracknell, 17.1)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 11/0 |
| 3 | 9 | 20/1 |
| 4 | 4 | 24/2 |
| 5 | 13 | 37/2 |
| 6 | 10 | 47/2 |
| 7 | 6 | 53/3 |
| 8 | 4 | 57/3 |
| 9 | 4 | 61/4 |
| 10 | 13 | 74/5 |
| 11 | 4 | 78/5 |
| 12 | 10 | 88/5 |
| 13 | 1 | 89/5 |
| 14 | 8 | 97/5 |
| 15 | 7 | 104/5 |
| 16 | 11 | 115/5 |
| 17 | 11 | 126/5 |
| 18 | 5 | 131/6 |
| 19 | 12 | 143/6 |
Luke Hollman: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zaman Akhter: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Helm: Dave Morton · Public domain
Leus du Plooy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matthew Critchley: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Zafar Gohar: Dave Morton · Public domain
Shane Snater: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sam Cook: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Simon Harmer: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
