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Photo: Paul Williams from United Kingdom
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2026 · Men
5 Jul 2026 · T20
The County Ground, Chelmsford · Venue photographRecorded result
Essex started on 63%; Essex batted first.
Essex's chances ranged from 2% to 64% during the match (Middlesex: 36% to 98%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Waltercaught · Leus du Plooy · Neha Sharma 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Leus du Plooy · b Neha Sharma | 22 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 129.41 |
| Michael-Kyle Pepperbowled · Neha Sharma 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Neha Sharma | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 62.50 |
| Jordan Coxcaught · Tom Helm · SHB Morgan 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Helm · b SHB Morgan | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| CWJ Allisoncaught · Matt Boyle · Luke Hollman 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Matt Boyle · b Luke Hollman | 13 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 86.67 |
| Luc Benkensteincaught · Josh de Caires · Luke Hollman 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Josh de Caires · b Luke Hollman | 11 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 84.62 |
| caught · Joe Cracknell · b Luke Hollman |
| 5 |
| 10 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 50.00 |
6 fours · 3 sixes | not out | 56* | 28 | 6 | 3 | 200.00 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Joe Cracknell · b Luke Hollman | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Joe Cracknell · b Matt Boyle | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
| Mackenzie Jonesnot out 1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 19* | 13 | 1 | 1 | 146.15 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neha Sharma0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 2 | 8.25 | 1 | 0 |
| 4.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 7.00 | 0 | 0 | |
| SHB Morgan0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 16.50 | 1 | 0 |
| 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 4 | 5.25 | 0 | 0 | |
| 4.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 | |
| Matt Boyle0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 6.50 | 1 | 0 |
1-9 (Michael-Kyle Pepper, 2.2) · 2-24 (Jordan Cox, 3.5) · 3-29 (Paul Walter, 5.0) · 4-52 (CWJ Allison, 9.0) · 5-55 (Luc Benkenstein, 10.2) · 6-60 (Matthew Critchley, 12.1) · 7-60 (Shane Snater, 12.3) · 8-69 (Zaman Akhter, 15.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 8/0 |
| 3 | 3 | 11/1 |
| 4 | 13 | 24/2 |
| 5 | 5 | 29/3 |
| 6 | 4 | 33/3 |
| 7 | 14 | 47/3 |
| 8 | 2 | 49/3 |
| 9 | 3 | 52/4 |
| 10 | 2 | 54/4 |
| 11 | 3 | 57/5 |
| 12 | 3 | 60/5 |
| 13 | 1 | 61/7 |
| 14 | 5 | 66/7 |
| 15 | 3 | 69/8 |
| 16 | 10 | 79/8 |
| 17 | 10 | 89/8 |
| 18 | 20 | 109/8 |
| 19 | 13 | 122/8 |
| 20 | 20 | 142/8 |
Luke Hollman: Dave Morton · Public domain
Zaman Akhter: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Helm: Dave Morton · Public domain
Leus du Plooy: Dave Morton · Public domain
Matthew Critchley: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Zafar Gohar: Dave Morton · Public domain
Shane Snater: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sam Cook: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Simon Harmer: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.