OneTipOneHand
Bringing the game to you…
Loading your next view.
THE WORLD OF CRICKET. CONNECTED. One game. A global community.
OneTipOneHand
Loading your next view.
Spot an error, a missing record or a photograph that needs attention?
ICC Men's T20 World Cup East Asia-Pacific Region Qualifier B · 2024 · Men
29 Sept 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Philippines more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Philippines started on 65%; Philippines batted first.
Philippines's chances ranged from 46% to 100% during the match (Indonesia: 0% to 54%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gede Priandanalbw · KDA Lukies 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b KDA Lukies | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
| KC Ramamoorthycaught · Daniel Smith · J Tuffin 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Daniel Smith · b J Tuffin | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Kadek Gamantikalbw · J Tuffin 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b J Tuffin | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
| PR Survenot out 2 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 38* | 45 | 2 | 1 | 84.44 |
| Ahmad Ramdonibowled · LJ Myott 0 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b LJ Myott | 12 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 92.31 |
| F Banunaeklbw · Huzaifa Mohammed0 fours · 0 sixes |
| lbw · b Huzaifa Mohammed |
| 0 |
| 7 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Gede Artabowled · Daniel Smith 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Daniel Smith | 9 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 47.37 |
|---|
| Danilson Hawoerun out · Daniel Smith, KDA Lukies · KDA Lukies 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Daniel Smith, KDA Lukies | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 14.29 |
|---|
| Gaurav Tiwaricaught and bowled · LJ Myott 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b LJ Myott | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Ketut Artawanlbw · LJ Myott 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b LJ Myott | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| RM Kodabowled · LJ Myott 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b LJ Myott | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J Tuffin0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 3.00 | 1 | 0 |
| KDA Lukies1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 20 | 1 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Huzaifa Mohammed0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
| LJ Myott1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | 2.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Daniel Smith0 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 5.50 | 5 | 0 |
| N Tanner0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-2 (KC Ramamoorthy, 1.0) · 2-2 (Gede Priandana, 1.2) · 3-12 (Kadek Gamantika, 4.1) · 4-29 (Ahmad Ramdoni, 7.2) · 5-30 (F Banunaek, 8.4) · 6-44 (Gede Arta, 12.5) · 7-67 (Danilson Hawoe, 16.3) · 8-69 (Gaurav Tiwari, 17.1) · 9-71 (Ketut Artawan, 17.5) · 10-71 (RM Koda, 18.0)
Recorded target: 114 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/1 |
| 2 | 0 | 2/2 |
| 3 | 3 | 5/2 |
| 4 | 7 | 12/2 |
| 5 | 5 | 17/3 |
| 6 | 10 | 27/3 |
| 7 | 2 | 29/3 |
| 8 | 0 | 29/4 |
| 9 | 1 | 30/5 |
| 10 | 4 | 34/5 |
| 11 | 3 | 37/5 |
| 12 | 5 | 42/5 |
| 13 | 2 | 44/6 |
| 14 | 3 | 47/6 |
| 15 | 10 | 57/6 |
| 16 | 9 | 66/6 |
| 17 | 3 | 69/7 |
| 18 | 2 | 71/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.