Delhi CapitalsversusMumbai Indians

27 Apr 2024 · T20

Arun Jaitley Stadium · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Delhi Capitals won by 10 runs

Delhi Capitals20.0 overs257/4 Mumbai Indians20.0 overs247/9 Arun Jaitley Stadium ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Delhi Capitals started on 45%; Delhi Capitals batted first.

Delhi Capitals’s chance of winning (%) · Mumbai Indians is the rest

Delhi Capitals's chances ranged from 46% to 99% during the match (Mumbai Indians: 1% to 55%).

Biggest swings

0.2: L Wood to J Fraser-McGurk, four by J Fraser-McGurk. Delhi Capitals up from 49% to 53%.
0.3: L Wood to J Fraser-McGurk, six by J Fraser-McGurk. Delhi Capitals up from 53% to 59%.
1.1: JJ Bumrah to J Fraser-McGurk, four by J Fraser-McGurk. Delhi Capitals up from 62% to 72%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Match details

Toss: Mumbai Indians chose to field
Player of the match: Jake Fraser-McGurk
match referees: V Narayan Kutty
reserve umpires: K Swaroopanand
tv umpires: J Madanagopal
umpires: Navdeep Singh, NA Patwardhan

Match history & source

On 27 Apr 2024, Delhi Capitals played Mumbai Indians at Arun Jaitley Stadium. Recorded result: Delhi Capitals won by 10 runs.

Calculation date: 9 Nov 2026.

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