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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Africa Qualifier · 2026 · Men
28 May 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Botswana more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Botswana started on 90%; Botswana batted first.
Botswana's chances ranged from 91% to 100% during the match (Ivory Coast: 0% to 9%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OK Mohamedbowled · Mmoloki Mooketsi 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mmoloki Mooketsi | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| KY Wilfriedbowled · K Piet 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b K Piet | 4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 36.36 |
| DKJ Claudebowled · B Khumalo 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b B Khumalo | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 66.67 |
| AK Rogerbowled · B Khumalo 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b B Khumalo | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| O Issoufrun out · P Silas · K Piet 0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · P Silas | 4 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 28.57 |
| D Issiakabowled · K Piet 0 fours · 0 sixes |
| bowled · b K Piet |
| 0 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| MC Alexrun out · V Mbazo, K Piet · Thatayaone Tshose 1 fours · 0 sixes | run out · V Mbazo, K Piet | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 83.33 |
|---|
| KMA Azizcaught · M Kasselman · Thatayaone Tshose 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · M Kasselman · b Thatayaone Tshose | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| M Ibrahimbowled · K Piet 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b K Piet | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| K Nagnamanot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| QF Djakaridjalbw · Thatayaone Tshose 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Thatayaone Tshose | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B Khumalo1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Mmoloki Mooketsi0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 5.00 | 2 | 0 |
| K Piet0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Thatayaone Tshose0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.3 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2.67 | 0 | 0 |
1-3 (OK Mohamed, 1.1) · 2-8 (DKJ Claude, 2.2) · 3-8 (AK Roger, 2.3) · 4-14 (KY Wilfried, 5.2) · 5-14 (D Issiaka, 5.5) · 6-23 (MC Alex, 6.5) · 7-24 (O Issouf, 7.5) · 8-24 (M Ibrahim, 8.0) · 9-24 (KMA Aziz, 8.2) · 10-24 (QF Djakaridja, 8.3)
Recorded target: 256 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 7/1 |
| 3 | 1 | 8/3 |
| 4 | 6 | 14/3 |
| 5 | 0 | 14/3 |
| 6 | 1 | 15/5 |
| 7 | 8 | 23/6 |
| 8 | 1 | 24/8 |
| 9 | 0 | 24/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.