BotswanaversusIvory Coast

Botswana more likely to win

Why

• On results in T20 internationals so far, Botswana rate stronger than Ivory Coast (1,504 vs 1,195 on our results rating)
• Botswana are playing at home in Botswana
• In the last 1 T20 internationals between these sides, Botswana won 1 and Ivory Coast won 0

Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

Botswana started on 90%; Botswana batted first.

Botswana's chances ranged from 91% to 100% during the match (Ivory Coast: 0% to 9%).

Biggest swings

1. 0.1: KMA Aziz to M Kasselman, 2 runs to M Kasselman. Botswana up from 91% to 91%.
2. 0.3: KMA Aziz to K Motlanka, 0 runs to K Motlanka. Botswana up from 92% to 93%.
3. 2.1: KMA Aziz to M Kasselman, four by M Kasselman. Botswana up from 95% to 96%.

Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.