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ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 · 2024 · Men
26 Sept 2024 · ODI
Recorded result
Namibia more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United Arab Emirates started on 35%; United Arab Emirates batted first.
United Arab Emirates's chances ranged from 0% to 41% during the match (Namibia: 59% to 100%).
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael van Lingenbowled · Basil Hameed 12 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Basil Hameed | 67 | 43 | 12 | 2 | 155.81 |
| Jean-Pierre Kotzecaught · Alishan Sharafu · Vishnu Sukumaran 6 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Alishan Sharafu · b Vishnu Sukumaran | 40 | 63 | 6 | 0 | 63.49 |
| Gerhard Erasmusnot out 6 fours · 3 sixes | not out | 59* | 46 | 6 | 3 | 128.26 |
| Zane Greennot out 3 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 21* | 21 | 3 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD |
|---|
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| NB |
|---|
| Junaid Siddique0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.5 | 0 | 51 | 0 | 8.74 | 1 | 0 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omid Shafi Rahman1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 1 | 31 | 0 | 6.20 | 1 | 0 |
| Ali Naseer0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 0 | 7.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Basil Hameed0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 4.80 | 0 | 0 |
| Muhammad Farooq1 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 1 | 35 | 0 | 5.83 | 3 | 0 |
| Vishnu Sukumaran0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 6.67 | 0 | 0 |
1-98 (Michael van Lingen, 13.1) · 2-147 (Jean-Pierre Kotze, 23.1)
Recorded target: 191 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 13/0 |
| 3 | 4 | 17/0 |
| 4 | 3 | 20/0 |
| 5 | 7 | 27/0 |
| 6 | 0 | 27/0 |
| 7 | 13 | 40/0 |
| 8 | 4 | 44/0 |
| 9 | 6 | 50/0 |
| 10 | 16 | 66/0 |
| 11 | 13 | 79/0 |
| 12 | 7 | 86/0 |
| 13 | 12 | 98/0 |
| 14 | 1 | 99/1 |
| 15 | 10 | 109/1 |
| 16 | 2 | 111/1 |
| 17 | 6 | 117/1 |
| 18 | 3 | 120/1 |
| 19 | 0 | 120/1 |
| 20 | 11 | 131/1 |
| 21 | 4 | 135/1 |
| 22 | 9 | 144/1 |
| 23 | 3 | 147/1 |
| 24 | 2 | 149/2 |
| 25 | 7 | 156/2 |
| 26 | 9 | 165/2 |
| 27 | 10 | 175/2 |
| 28 | 7 | 182/2 |
| 29 | 12 | 194/2 |
Ben Shikongo: Amuzujoe · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alishan Sharafu: Sharafu.abuali · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
