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ICC Men's Cricket World Cup League 2 · 2024 · Men
26 Sept 2024 · ODI
Recorded result
Namibia more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United Arab Emirates started on 35%; United Arab Emirates batted first.
United Arab Emirates's chances ranged from 0% to 41% during the match (Namibia: 59% to 100%).
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Alishan Sharafucaught · JJ Smit · Ben Shikongo6 fours · 0 sixes | caught · JJ Smit · b Ben Shikongo | 31 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 119.23 |
| Aryansh Sharmalbw · JJ Smit 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b JJ Smit | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Waseem Muhammadcaught · Gerhard Erasmus · Tangeni Lungameni 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Gerhard Erasmus · b Tangeni Lungameni | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Vishnu Sukumaranlbw · Bernard Scholtz 3 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Bernard Scholtz | 30 | 43 | 3 | 1 | 69.77 |
| Asif Khancaught · Tangeni Lungameni · Gerhard Erasmus 3 fours · 0 sixes |
Tested on every ball of 247 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.171, against 0.234 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| 26 |
| 62 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 41.94 |
| Rahul Chopracaught · Jan Nicol Loftie-Eaton · JJ Smit 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jan Nicol Loftie-Eaton · b JJ Smit | 9 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 40.91 |
|---|
| Basil Hameedcaught · Michael van Lingen · Bernard Scholtz 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Michael van Lingen · b Bernard Scholtz | 13 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 86.67 |
|---|
| Ali Naseercaught · Michael van Lingen · JJ Smit 7 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Michael van Lingen · b JJ Smit | 61 | 62 | 7 | 2 | 98.39 |
|---|
| Muhammad Farooqcaught · Michael van Lingen · Shaun Fouché 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Michael van Lingen · b Shaun Fouché | 4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
| Junaid Siddiquecaught · Jan Nicol Loftie-Eaton · Tangeni Lungameni 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Jan Nicol Loftie-Eaton · b Tangeni Lungameni | 7 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 53.85 |
|---|
| Omid Shafi Rahmannot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 0 · wides: 8 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tangeni Lungameni1 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 10.0 | 1 | 36 | 2 | 3.60 | 4 | 0 |
| JJ Smit0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.2 | 0 | 50 | 3 | 6.00 | 2 | 0 |
 Ben Shikongo0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 4.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Bernard Scholtz1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 1 | 26 | 2 | 2.89 | 0 | 0 |
| Gerhard Erasmus0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 0 | 44 | 1 | 5.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Shaun Fouché0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 4.20 | 0 | 0 |
1-9 (Aryansh Sharma, 1.2) · 2-15 (Waseem Muhammad, 2.1) · 3-47 (Alishan Sharafu, 9.0) · 4-71 (Vishnu Sukumaran, 14.0) · 5-86 (Rahul Chopra, 22.3) · 6-101 (Basil Hameed, 25.4) · 7-141 (Asif Khan, 34.4) · 8-160 (Muhammad Farooq, 37.5) · 9-173 (Junaid Siddique, 41.4) · 10-190 (Ali Naseer, 43.2)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | 9/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 15/1 |
| 3 | 3 | 18/2 |
| 4 | 6 | 24/2 |
| 5 | 7 | 31/2 |
| 6 | 4 | 35/2 |
| 7 | 5 | 40/2 |
| 8 | 5 | 45/2 |
| 9 | 2 | 47/3 |
| 10 | 9 | 56/3 |
| 11 | 6 | 62/3 |
| 12 | 3 | 65/3 |
| 13 | 2 | 67/3 |
| 14 | 4 | 71/4 |
| 15 | 0 | 71/4 |
| 16 | 0 | 71/4 |
| 17 | 2 | 73/4 |
| 18 | 3 | 76/4 |
| 19 | 3 | 79/4 |
| 20 | 1 | 80/4 |
| 21 | 5 | 85/4 |
| 22 | 1 | 86/4 |
| 23 | 6 | 92/5 |
| 24 | 1 | 93/5 |
| 25 | 4 | 97/5 |
| 26 | 4 | 101/6 |
| 27 | 6 | 107/6 |
| 28 | 9 | 116/6 |
| 29 | 3 | 119/6 |
| 30 | 1 | 120/6 |
| 31 | 1 | 121/6 |
| 32 | 2 | 123/6 |
| 33 | 9 | 132/6 |
| 34 | 4 | 136/6 |
| 35 | 5 | 141/7 |
| 36 | 1 | 142/7 |
| 37 | 5 | 147/7 |
| 38 | 13 | 160/8 |
| 39 | 1 | 161/8 |
| 40 | 3 | 164/8 |
| 41 | 7 | 171/8 |
| 42 | 2 | 173/9 |
| 43 | 13 | 186/9 |
| 44 | 4 | 190/10 |
Ben Shikongo: Amuzujoe · CC BY-SA 4.0
Alishan Sharafu: Sharafu.abuali · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
