UP WarriorzversusRoyal Challengers Bengaluru

8 Mar 2025 · T20

Ekana Cricket Stadium, Lucknow · Venue photograph

Recorded result

UP Warriorz won by 12 runs

UP Warriorz20.0 overs225/5 Royal Challengers Bengaluru19.3 overs213/10 Ekana Cricket Stadium, Lucknow ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

UP Warriorz started on 43%; UP Warriorz batted first.

UP Warriorz’s chance of winning (%) · Royal Challengers Bengaluru is the rest

UP Warriorz's chances ranged from 44% to 100% during the match (Royal Challengers Bengaluru: 0% to 56%).

Biggest swings

7.1: G Wareham to G Voll, GM Harris out. Royal Challengers Bengaluru up from 20% to 27%.
2nd inns 18.5: DB Sharma to S Rana, six by S Rana. Royal Challengers Bengaluru up from 1% to 13%.
2nd inns 18.6: DB Sharma to S Rana, S Rana out. UP Warriorz up from 87% to 96%.

Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.

Match details

Toss: Royal Challengers Bengaluru chose to field
Player of the match: Georgia Voll
match referees: RB Kalita
reserve umpires: Gayathri Venugopal
tv umpires: AK Argal
umpires: Anish Sahasrabudhe, Bhavesh Patel

Match history & source

On 8 Mar 2025, UP Warriorz played Royal Challengers Bengaluru at Ekana Cricket Stadium, Lucknow. Recorded result: UP Warriorz won by 12 runs.

Calculation date: 9 Nov 2026.

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