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ACC Men's Premier Cup · 2024 · Men
21 Apr 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Oman more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
United Arab Emirates started on 23%; United Arab Emirates batted first.
United Arab Emirates's chances ranged from 22% to 100% during the match (Oman: 0% to 79%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kashyap Prajapaticaught · Syed Haider · Junaid Siddique 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Syed Haider · b Junaid Siddique | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| Naseem Khushibowled · Junaid Siddique 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Junaid Siddique | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Aaqib Ilyascaught · Syed Haider · Junaid Siddique 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Syed Haider · b Junaid Siddique | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Zeeshan Maqsoodcaught · Waseem Muhammad · Muhammad Farooq 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Waseem Muhammad · b Muhammad Farooq | 14 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Khalid Kailstumped · Syed Haider · Aayan Afzal Khan 4 fours · 1 sixes | stumped · Syed Haider · b Aayan Afzal Khan | 30 | 25 | 4 | 1 | 120.00 |
| Ayan Khancaught · Syed Haider · Muhammad Farooq 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Syed Haider · b Muhammad Farooq | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| PS Athavalerun out · Syed Haider, Omid Shafi Rahman · Muhammad Farooq 4 fours · 3 sixes | run out · Syed Haider, Omid Shafi Rahman | 49 | 30 | 4 | 3 | 163.33 |
|---|
| Rafiullahcaught · Ali Naseer · Aayan Afzal Khan 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ali Naseer · b Aayan Afzal Khan | 11 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 84.62 |
|---|
| Shakeel Ahmedbowled · Basil Hameed 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Basil Hameed | 6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
| Fiaz Bhuttnot out 1 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 23* | 16 | 1 | 1 | 143.75 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 6 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junaid Siddique0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 38 | 3 | 9.50 | 3 | 0 |
| Omid Shafi Rahman0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Ali Naseer0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Muhammad Farooq0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 30 | 2 | 7.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Aayan Afzal Khan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 2 | 7.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Basil Hameed0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 4.33 | 1 | 0 |
1-3 (Kashyap Prajapati, 0.3) · 2-4 (Naseem Khushi, 1.0) · 3-11 (Aaqib Ilyas, 2.2) · 4-54 (Zeeshan Maqsood, 7.5) · 5-54 (Ayan Khan, 8.0) · 6-58 (Khalid Kail, 8.5) · 7-80 (Rafiullah, 12.3) · 8-99 (Shakeel Ahmed, 15.1) · 9-149 (PS Athavale, 20.0)
Recorded target: 205 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/2 |
| 2 | 3 | 7/2 |
| 3 | 8 | 15/3 |
| 4 | 6 | 21/3 |
| 5 | 10 | 31/3 |
| 6 | 13 | 44/3 |
| 7 | 6 | 50/3 |
| 8 | 4 | 54/5 |
| 9 | 4 | 58/6 |
| 10 | 5 | 63/6 |
| 11 | 5 | 68/6 |
| 12 | 8 | 76/6 |
| 13 | 5 | 81/7 |
| 14 | 3 | 84/7 |
| 15 | 15 | 99/7 |
| 16 | 3 | 102/8 |
| 17 | 15 | 117/8 |
| 18 | 7 | 124/8 |
| 19 | 12 | 136/8 |
| 20 | 13 | 149/9 |
Alishan Sharafu: Sharafu.abuali · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
