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Photo: Trentino Priori
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Big Bash League · 2024/25 · Men
11 Jan 2025 · T20
Adelaide Oval · Venue photographRecorded result
Adelaide Strikers started on 45%; Adelaide Strikers batted first.
Adelaide Strikers's chances ranged from 46% to 100% during the match (Brisbane Heat: 0% to 54%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Woodlbw · D'Arcy Short 2 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b D'Arcy Short | 29 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 120.83 |
 Michael Nesercaught · Alex Ross · Liam Haskett1 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Alex Ross · b Liam Haskett | 18 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 225.00 |
| Nathan McSweeneyrun out · Alex Carey, Jamie Overton · Jordan Buckingham 4 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Alex Carey, Jamie Overton | 43 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 179.17 |
 Matt Renshawcaught · Matthew Short · Jordan Buckingham1 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Matthew Short · b Jordan Buckingham | 34 | 16 | 1 | 3 | 212.50 |
| caught · Liam Haskett · b D'Arcy Short |
| 18 |
| 10 |
| 0 |
| 2 |
| 180.00 |
 Tom Alsopcaught · D'Arcy Short · Liam Haskett0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · D'Arcy Short · b Liam Haskett | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 111.11 |
|---|
 Colin Munrocaught · Jamie Overton · D'Arcy Short0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jamie Overton · b D'Arcy Short | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Xavier Bartlettcaught · D'Arcy Short · Lloyd Pope 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · D'Arcy Short · b Lloyd Pope | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Mitchell Swepsonbowled · Lloyd Pope 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Lloyd Pope | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Matthew Kuhnemannnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 9* | 9 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Spencer Johnsoncaught · Jordan Buckingham · D'Arcy Short 3 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Jordan Buckingham · b D'Arcy Short | 27 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 207.69 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 3 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Brendan Doggett0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 6.67 | 0 | 0 |
| Liam Haskett0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 43 | 2 | 14.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Lloyd Pope0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 44 | 2 | 11.00 | 2 | 0 |
 Jordan Buckingham0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 42 | 1 | 10.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Jamie Overton0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 28 | 0 | 9.33 | 1 | 0 |
 D'Arcy Short0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-20 (Michael Neser, 2.0) · 2-85 (Jack Wood, 8.1) · 3-97 (Nathan McSweeney, 10.1) · 4-146 (Matt Renshaw, 13.2) · 5-148 (Max Bryant, 14.2) · 6-148 (Colin Munro, 14.4) · 7-150 (Xavier Bartlett, 15.2) · 8-152 (Mitchell Swepson, 15.5) · 9-158 (Tom Alsop, 16.3) · 10-195 (Spencer Johnson, 20.0)
Recorded target: 252 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 15 | 20/1 |
| 3 | 10 | 30/1 |
| 4 | 20 | 50/1 |
| 5 | 6 | 56/1 |
| 6 | 12 | 68/1 |
| 7 | 7 | 75/1 |
| 8 | 10 | 85/1 |
| 9 | 6 | 91/2 |
| 10 | 5 | 96/2 |
| 11 | 13 | 109/3 |
| 12 | 13 | 122/3 |
| 13 | 23 | 145/3 |
| 14 | 2 | 147/4 |
| 15 | 1 | 148/6 |
| 16 | 4 | 152/8 |
| 17 | 9 | 161/9 |
| 18 | 20 | 181/9 |
| 19 | 6 | 187/9 |
| 20 | 8 | 195/10 |
Tom Alsop: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jordan Buckingham: Dave Morton · Public domain
Ollie Pope: Kroome111 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Michael Neser: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jamie Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
D'Arcy Short: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Alex Carey: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Matt Renshaw: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Colin Munro: Joeyjackets · CC BY-SA 4.0
Brendan Doggett: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Lynn: Haley Jackson · CC BY 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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