Barbados TridentsversusGuyana Amazon Warriors

13 Sept 2026 · T20

Kensington Oval · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Guyana Amazon Warriors won by 5 wickets

Barbados Tridents20.0 overs158/7 Guyana Amazon Warriors19.0 overs159/5 Kensington Oval ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Barbados Tridents started on 46%; Barbados Tridents batted first.

Barbados Tridents’s chance of winning (%) · Guyana Amazon Warriors is the rest

Barbados Tridents's chances ranged from 4% to 79% during the match (Guyana Amazon Warriors: 21% to 96%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 15.6: SW Bates to N de Klerk, six by N de Klerk. Guyana Amazon Warriors up from 38% to 60%.
2nd inns 17.6: HK Matthews to SA Campbelle, four by SA Campbelle. Guyana Amazon Warriors up from 41% to 69%.
2nd inns 18.3: CS Fraser to SA Campbelle, six by SA Campbelle. Guyana Amazon Warriors up from 79% to 96%.

Tested on every ball of 360 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.172, against 0.236 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.