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ICC Men's T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier Group C · 2024 · Men
22 Aug 2024 · T20
Recorded result
Denmark more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Denmark started on 62%; Denmark batted first.
Denmark's chances ranged from 57% to 100% during the match (Greece: 0% to 43%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sajid Khan Afridibowled · Oliver Hald 3 fours · 2 sixes | bowled · b Oliver Hald | 31 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 172.22 |
| C Bogdanosnot out 3 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 39* | 46 | 3 | 0 | 84.78 |
| AS Mehmibowled · Oliver Hald 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Oliver Hald | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| Sinan Khanlbw · Nicolaj Damgaard 2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Nicolaj Damgaard | 11 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 84.62 |
| GC Galaniscaught · Toqeer Ahmad · Eshan Karimi 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Toqeer Ahmad · b Eshan Karimi | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 80.00 |
| Aslam Mohammadlbw · Saif Ahmad0 fours · 1 sixes |
| lbw · b Saif Ahmad |
| 10 |
| 10 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 100.00 |
| Ali Muaazcaught · Oliver Hald · Delawar Khan 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Oliver Hald · b Delawar Khan | 10 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 83.33 |
|---|
| Samader Shadabrun out · Taranjit Bharaj, Delawar Khan · Saif Ahmad 0 fours · 1 sixes | run out · Taranjit Bharaj, Delawar Khan | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 300.00 |
|---|
| A Gasteratosbowled · Delawar Khan 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Delawar Khan | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| S Vasilakisnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 7* | 8 | 1 | 0 | 87.50 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 10 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Surya Anand0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 10.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Toqeer Ahmad0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 24 | 0 | 8.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Oliver Hald0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 7.00 | 3 | 0 |
| Eshan Karimi0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 4.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Nicolaj Damgaard0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 6.33 | 2 | 0 |
| Saif Ahmad0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 1 | 5.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Delawar Khan0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 17 | 2 | 5.67 | 2 | 0 |
1-36 (Sajid Khan Afridi, 4.2) · 2-38 (AS Mehmi, 5.0) · 3-64 (Sinan Khan, 8.2) · 4-71 (GC Galanis, 10.0) · 5-90 (Aslam Mohammad, 13.1) · 6-107 (Ali Muaaz, 16.4) · 7-122 (Samader Shadab, 17.3) · 8-123 (A Gasteratos, 18.2)
Recorded target: 167 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 10/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 12/0 |
| 3 | 10 | 22/0 |
| 4 | 13 | 35/0 |
| 5 | 3 | 38/2 |
| 6 | 9 | 47/2 |
| 7 | 11 | 58/2 |
| 8 | 6 | 64/2 |
| 9 | 3 | 67/3 |
| 10 | 4 | 71/4 |
| 11 | 3 | 74/4 |
| 12 | 3 | 77/4 |
| 13 | 13 | 90/4 |
| 14 | 4 | 94/5 |
| 15 | 7 | 101/5 |
| 16 | 5 | 106/5 |
| 17 | 7 | 113/6 |
| 18 | 10 | 123/7 |
| 19 | 3 | 126/8 |
| 20 | 8 | 134/8 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.