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ICC Women's T20 World Cup · 2026 · Women
17 Jun 2026 · T20
Headingley · Venue photographToo close to call
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
India started on 51%; India batted first.
India's chances ranged from 51% to 100% during the match (Netherlands: 0% to 49%).
Tested on every ball of 1,050 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.120, against 0.177 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heather Siegerscaught · Smriti Mandhana · Nandani Sharma 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Smriti Mandhana · b Nandani Sharma | 21 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 131.25 |
| P Molkenboercaught · Jemimah Rodrigues · Deepti Sharma 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jemimah Rodrigues · b Deepti Sharma | 15 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 75.00 |
| Babette de Leedestumped · Richa Ghosh · Nandani Sharma 3 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Richa Ghosh · b Nandani Sharma | 28 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 103.70 |
| Sterre Kalisbowled · Shafali Verma 3 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Shafali Verma | 18 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 138.46 |
| Robine Rijkelbw · Shree Charani 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Shree Charani | 8 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| Frederique Overdijkcaught · Smriti Mandhana · Shree Charani 1 fours · 0 sixes |
|---|
| caught · Smriti Mandhana · b Shree Charani |
| 9 |
| 7 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 128.57 |
| Iris Zwillingcaught · Jemimah Rodrigues · Shree Charani 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jemimah Rodrigues · b Shree Charani | 8 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 88.89 |
|---|
| MIW van den Raadcaught · Richa Ghosh · Shree Charani 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Richa Ghosh · b Shree Charani | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Silver Siegersstumped · Richa Ghosh · Shafali Verma 0 fours · 0 sixes | stumped · Richa Ghosh · b Shafali Verma | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Caroline de Langenot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| I van der Woningcaught · Jemimah Rodrigues · Shafali Verma 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jemimah Rodrigues · b Shafali Verma | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kranti Goud0 maidens · 4 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 6.50 | 4 | 0 |
| Nandani Sharma0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 7.33 | 0 | 0 |
 Shafali Verma0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.2 | 0 | 20 | 3 | 6.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Shreyanka Patil0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Shree Charani0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 19 | 4 | 4.75 | 1 | 0 |
 Deepti Sharma0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 8.67 | 0 | 0 |
1-34 (Heather Siegers, 4.2) · 2-50 (P Molkenboer, 7.3) · 3-77 (Sterre Kalis, 11.2) · 4-96 (Babette de Leede, 13.5) · 5-98 (Robine Rijke, 14.1) · 6-113 (Frederique Overdijk, 16.1) · 7-113 (MIW van den Raad, 16.2) · 8-114 (Iris Zwilling, 17.0) · 9-114 (Silver Siegers, 17.1) · 10-114 (I van der Woning, 17.3)
Recorded target: 210 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7/0 |
| 2 | 10 | 17/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 19/0 |
| 4 | 11 | 30/0 |
| 5 | 6 | 36/1 |
| 6 | 3 | 39/1 |
| 7 | 6 | 45/1 |
| 8 | 9 | 54/2 |
| 9 | 5 | 59/2 |
| 10 | 9 | 68/2 |
| 11 | 9 | 77/2 |
| 12 | 6 | 83/3 |
| 13 | 9 | 92/3 |
| 14 | 6 | 98/4 |
| 15 | 7 | 105/5 |
| 16 | 8 | 113/5 |
| 17 | 1 | 114/8 |
| 18 | 0 | 114/10 |
Deepti Sharma: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Richa Ghosh: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Jemimah Rodrigues: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Harmanpreet Kaur: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shafali Verma: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Smriti Mandhana: Prime Minister's Office · GODL-India
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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