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Photo: Trentino Priori
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Big Bash League · 2025/26 · Men
11 Jan 2026 · T20
Adelaide Oval · Venue photographRecorded result
Perth Scorchers started on 53%; Perth Scorchers batted first.
Perth Scorchers's chances ranged from 54% to 100% during the match (Adelaide Strikers: 0% to 46%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Alex Careycaught · Ashton Turner · Mahli Beardman7 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Ashton Turner · b Mahli Beardman | 71 | 39 | 7 | 2 | 182.05 |
| Matthew Shortcaught · David Payne · Aaron Hardie 4 fours · 3 sixes | caught · David Payne · b Aaron Hardie | 52 | 31 | 4 | 3 | 167.74 |
 Chris Lynncaught · Josh Inglis · David Payne3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Josh Inglis · b David Payne | 18 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 163.64 |
| Liam Scottbowled · Cooper Connolly 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Cooper Connolly | 12 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
| caught · Josh Inglis · b Mahli Beardman |
| 1 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 50.00 |
| Mackenzie Harveycaught · Finn Allen · David Payne 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Finn Allen · b David Payne | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Harry Manenticaught · Luke Holt · David Payne 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Luke Holt · b David Payne | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Luke Woodcaught · Aaron Hardie · Jhye Richardson0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Aaron Hardie · b Jhye Richardson | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
 Hasan Alinot out3 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 14* | 7 | 3 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Cameron Boycenot out 2 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 23* | 13 | 2 | 1 | 176.92 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 5 · wides: 1 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Connolly0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 24 | 1 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Jhye Richardson0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 45 | 1 | 11.25 | 0 | 1 |
| David Payne0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 35 | 3 | 8.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Aaron Hardie0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Mahli Beardman0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 43 | 2 | 10.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Luke Holt0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-93 (Matthew Short, 7.5) · 2-125 (Chris Lynn, 10.3) · 3-153 (Liam Scott, 14.3) · 4-161 (Alex Carey, 15.3) · 5-162 (Jamie Overton, 15.5) · 6-162 (Mackenzie Harvey, 16.1) · 7-163 (Harry Manenti, 16.3) · 8-167 (Luke Wood, 17.1)
Recorded target: 233 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 11/0 |
| 2 | 14 | 25/0 |
| 3 | 11 | 36/0 |
| 4 | 13 | 49/0 |
| 5 | 12 | 61/0 |
| 6 | 11 | 72/0 |
| 7 | 14 | 86/0 |
| 8 | 8 | 94/1 |
| 9 | 8 | 102/1 |
| 10 | 15 | 117/1 |
| 11 | 10 | 127/2 |
| 12 | 12 | 139/2 |
| 13 | 4 | 143/2 |
| 14 | 9 | 152/2 |
| 15 | 5 | 157/3 |
| 16 | 5 | 162/5 |
| 17 | 5 | 167/7 |
| 18 | 9 | 176/8 |
| 19 | 9 | 185/8 |
| 20 | 15 | 200/8 |
Luke Wood: Dave Morton · Public domain
Mitchell Marsh: www.davidmolloyphotography.com · CC BY 2.0
Jamie Overton: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Alex Carey: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Josh Inglis: Prime Video AU & NZ · CC BY 3.0
Hasan Ali: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Chris Lynn: Haley Jackson · CC BY 2.0
Ashton Turner: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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