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South Africa tour of West Indies · 2024 · Men
15 Aug 2024 · Test
Providence Stadium, Guyana · Venue photographRecorded result
South Africa more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 3
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony de Zorzicaught · Joshua Da Silva · Jayden Seales 5 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Joshua Da Silva · b Jayden Seales | 39 | 72 | 5 | 0 | 54.17 |
 Aiden Markramlbw · Gudakesh Motie6 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Gudakesh Motie | 51 | 108 | 6 | 0 | 47.22 |
| Tristan Stubbscaught · Joshua Da Silva · Jayden Seales 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Joshua Da Silva · b Jayden Seales | 24 | 75 | 1 | 0 | 32.00 |
 Temba Bavumalbw · Gudakesh Motie1 fours · 0 sixes |
| lbw · b Gudakesh Motie |
| 4 |
| 18 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 22.22 |
| David Bedinghambowled · Jayden Seales 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jayden Seales | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Kyle Verreynnebowled · Jayden Seales 8 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jayden Seales | 59 | 78 | 8 | 0 | 75.64 |
|---|
 Wiaan Mulderlbw · Jomel Warrican2 fours · 2 sixes | lbw · b Jomel Warrican | 34 | 71 | 2 | 2 | 47.89 |
|---|
 Keshav Maharajcaught · Gudakesh Motie · Jayden Seales0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Gudakesh Motie · b Jayden Seales | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Kagiso Rabadacaught · Kavem Hodge · Jomel Warrican1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kavem Hodge · b Jomel Warrican | 6 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 26.09 |
|---|
| Dane Piedtnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 7* | 21 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
|---|
| Nandre Burgercaught and bowled · Jayden Seales 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Jayden Seales | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 13 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Seales4 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 18.4 | 4 | 61 | 6 | 3.27 | 0 | 0 |
 Jason Holder4 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 12.0 | 4 | 24 | 0 | 2.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Shamar Joseph2 maidens · 5 wides · 0 no-balls | 18.0 | 2 | 53 | 0 | 2.94 | 5 | 0 |
| Gudakesh Motie5 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 22.0 | 5 | 61 | 2 | 2.77 | 0 | 0 |
| Jomel Warrican2 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 9.0 | 2 | 21 | 2 | 2.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Kavem Hodge0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-79 (Tony de Zorzi, 21.0) · 2-120 (Aiden Markram, 39.0) · 3-134 (Temba Bavuma, 44.3) · 4-134 (Tristan Stubbs, 46.0) · 5-139 (David Bedingham, 47.4) · 6-224 (Wiaan Mulder, 71.0) · 7-227 (Keshav Maharaj, 71.4) · 8-232 (Kyle Verreynne, 73.2) · 9-244 (Kagiso Rabada, 79.0) · 10-246 (Nandre Burger, 80.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 8 | 12/0 |
| 3 | 7 | 19/0 |
| 4 | 1 | 20/0 |
| 5 | 3 | 23/0 |
| 6 | 1 | 24/0 |
| 7 | 5 | 29/0 |
| 8 | 1 | 30/0 |
| 9 | 15 | 45/0 |
| 10 | 6 | 51/0 |
| 11 | 4 | 55/0 |
| 12 | 7 | 62/0 |
| 13 | 4 | 66/0 |
| 14 | 6 | 72/0 |
| 15 | 0 | 72/0 |
| 16 | 1 | 73/0 |
| 17 | 1 | 74/0 |
| 18 | 3 | 77/0 |
| 19 | 0 | 77/0 |
| 20 | 2 | 79/0 |
| 21 | 0 | 79/1 |
| 22 | 1 | 80/1 |
| 23 | 2 | 82/1 |
| 24 | 3 | 85/1 |
| 25 | 0 | 85/1 |
| 26 | 8 | 93/1 |
| 27 | 4 | 97/1 |
| 28 | 3 | 100/1 |
| 29 | 1 | 101/1 |
| 30 | 6 | 107/1 |
| 31 | 0 | 107/1 |
| 32 | 0 | 107/1 |
| 33 | 2 | 109/1 |
| 34 | 2 | 111/1 |
| 35 | 0 | 111/1 |
| 36 | 1 | 112/1 |
| 37 | 1 | 113/1 |
| 38 | 5 | 118/1 |
| 39 | 2 | 120/2 |
| 40 | 1 | 121/2 |
| 41 | 5 | 126/2 |
| 42 | 7 | 133/2 |
| 43 | 1 | 134/2 |
| 44 | 0 | 134/2 |
| 45 | 0 | 134/3 |
| 46 | 0 | 134/4 |
| 47 | 0 | 134/4 |
| 48 | 6 | 140/5 |
| 49 | 4 | 144/5 |
| 50 | 2 | 146/5 |
| 51 | 1 | 147/5 |
| 52 | 5 | 152/5 |
| 53 | 8 | 160/5 |
| 54 | 4 | 164/5 |
| 55 | 2 | 166/5 |
| 56 | 2 | 168/5 |
| 57 | 0 | 168/5 |
| 58 | 7 | 175/5 |
| 59 | 5 | 180/5 |
| 60 | 5 | 185/5 |
| 61 | 0 | 185/5 |
| 62 | 3 | 188/5 |
| 63 | 0 | 188/5 |
| 64 | 3 | 191/5 |
| 65 | 5 | 196/5 |
| 66 | 1 | 197/5 |
| 67 | 5 | 202/5 |
| 68 | 5 | 207/5 |
| 69 | 7 | 214/5 |
| 70 | 9 | 223/5 |
| 71 | 1 | 224/6 |
| 72 | 3 | 227/7 |
| 73 | 1 | 228/7 |
| 74 | 5 | 233/8 |
| 75 | 1 | 234/8 |
| 76 | 1 | 235/8 |
| 77 | 3 | 238/8 |
| 78 | 1 | 239/8 |
| 79 | 5 | 244/9 |
| 80 | 1 | 245/9 |
| 81 | 1 | 246/10 |
Temba Bavuma: Michael Sherman · CC BY 3.0
Wiaan Mulder: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Aiden Markram: Marcel Sigg · CC0
Keshav Maharaj: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jason Holder: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Kraigg Brathwaite: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kagiso Rabada: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Joshua Da Silva: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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