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South Africa tour of West Indies · 2024 · Men
15 Aug 2024 · Test
Providence Stadium, Guyana · Venue photographRecorded result
South Africa more likely to win
Model tested on 119 past Tests it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings, plus how often Tests at this ground end in a draw. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Aiden Markrambowled · Shamar Joseph1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Shamar Joseph | 14 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 46.67 |
| Tony de Zorzibowled · Jayden Seales 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jayden Seales | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10.00 |
| Tristan Stubbscaught · Kavem Hodge · Jason Holder 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Kavem Hodge · b Jason Holder | 26 | 65 | 3 | 0 | 40.00 |
 Temba Bavumalbw · Shamar Joseph0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Shamar Joseph |
| 0 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| David Bedinghamcaught · Joshua Da Silva · Shamar Joseph 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Joshua Da Silva · b Shamar Joseph | 28 | 54 | 3 | 0 | 51.85 |
|---|
| Kyle Verreynnebowled · Shamar Joseph 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Shamar Joseph | 21 | 33 | 2 | 0 | 63.64 |
|---|
 Wiaan Muldercaught · Joshua Da Silva · Jayden Seales0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Joshua Da Silva · b Jayden Seales | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Keshav Maharajbowled · Shamar Joseph0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Shamar Joseph | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
 Kagiso Rabadabowled · Jayden Seales0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jayden Seales | 0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Dane Piedtnot out 4 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 38* | 60 | 4 | 1 | 63.33 |
|---|
| Nandre Burgerlbw · Gudakesh Motie 2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Gudakesh Motie | 23 | 56 | 2 | 0 | 41.07 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 3 · legbyes: 6 · wides: 0 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jason Holder4 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 12.0 | 4 | 26 | 1 | 2.17 | 0 | 0 |
| Jayden Seales3 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 14.0 | 3 | 45 | 3 | 3.21 | 0 | 0 |
| Shamar Joseph4 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 14.0 | 4 | 33 | 5 | 2.36 | 0 | 0 |
| Jomel Warrican1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 8.0 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 2.38 | 0 | 0 |
| Gudakesh Motie1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 1 | 28 | 1 | 4.67 | 0 | 0 |
1-8 (Tony de Zorzi, 3.3) · 2-20 (Aiden Markram, 10.3) · 3-20 (Temba Bavuma, 10.5) · 4-57 (Tristan Stubbs, 22.5) · 5-78 (David Bedingham, 29.0) · 6-87 (Wiaan Mulder, 30.0) · 7-88 (Keshav Maharaj, 30.3) · 8-93 (Kagiso Rabada, 33.3) · 9-97 (Kyle Verreynne, 36.1) · 10-160 (Nandre Burger, 54.0)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 0 | 8/0 |
| 3 | 0 | 8/0 |
| 4 | 2 | 10/1 |
| 5 | 3 | 13/1 |
| 6 | 1 | 14/1 |
| 7 | 2 | 16/1 |
| 8 | 1 | 17/1 |
| 9 | 0 | 17/1 |
| 10 | 3 | 20/1 |
| 11 | 0 | 20/3 |
| 12 | 0 | 20/3 |
| 13 | 6 | 26/3 |
| 14 | 5 | 31/3 |
| 15 | 3 | 34/3 |
| 16 | 6 | 40/3 |
| 17 | 1 | 41/3 |
| 18 | 0 | 41/3 |
| 19 | 8 | 49/3 |
| 20 | 2 | 51/3 |
| 21 | 4 | 55/3 |
| 22 | 1 | 56/3 |
| 23 | 1 | 57/4 |
| 24 | 1 | 58/4 |
| 25 | 2 | 60/4 |
| 26 | 4 | 64/4 |
| 27 | 3 | 67/4 |
| 28 | 6 | 73/4 |
| 29 | 5 | 78/5 |
| 30 | 9 | 87/6 |
| 31 | 1 | 88/7 |
| 32 | 3 | 91/7 |
| 33 | 1 | 92/7 |
| 34 | 1 | 93/8 |
| 35 | 0 | 93/8 |
| 36 | 4 | 97/8 |
| 37 | 0 | 97/9 |
| 38 | 5 | 102/9 |
| 39 | 4 | 106/9 |
| 40 | 6 | 112/9 |
| 41 | 6 | 118/9 |
| 42 | 0 | 118/9 |
| 43 | 10 | 128/9 |
| 44 | 1 | 129/9 |
| 45 | 2 | 131/9 |
| 46 | 3 | 134/9 |
| 47 | 1 | 135/9 |
| 48 | 4 | 139/9 |
| 49 | 4 | 143/9 |
| 50 | 3 | 146/9 |
| 51 | 5 | 151/9 |
| 52 | 7 | 158/9 |
| 53 | 2 | 160/9 |
| 54 | 0 | 160/10 |
Temba Bavuma: Michael Sherman · CC BY 3.0
Wiaan Mulder: EGilham · CC BY-SA 4.0
Aiden Markram: Marcel Sigg · CC0
Keshav Maharaj: Dave Morton · Public domain
Jason Holder: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Kraigg Brathwaite: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kagiso Rabada: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Joshua Da Silva: Calistemon · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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