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Thailand Women tour of Papua New Guinea · 2026 · Women
13 Aug 2026 · ODI
Recorded result
Papua New Guinea more likely to win
Model tested on 501 past ODIs it never saw: its favourite won 63% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Thailand started on 42%; Thailand batted first.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Konio Oalalbw · T Putthawong 2 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b T Putthawong | 11 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 55.00 |
| Naoani Varecaught and bowled · T Putthawong 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b T Putthawong | 11 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 47.83 |
| Brenda Taulbw · S Chaturongrattana 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b S Chaturongrattana | 6 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 37.50 |
| Sibona Jimmylbw · S Chaturongrattana 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b S Chaturongrattana | 5 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 31.25 |
| Tanya Rumarun out · Phannita Maya, Aphisara Suwanchonrathi · Aphisara Suwanchonrathi 3 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Phannita Maya, Aphisara Suwanchonrathi | 29 | 56 | 3 | 0 | 51.79 |
Thailand's chances ranged from 38% to 100% during the match (Papua New Guinea: 0% to 62%).
Tested on every ball of 175 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.129, against 0.189 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
| caught · Natthakan Chantam · b Suleeporn Laomi |
| 12 |
| 18 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 66.67 |
| H Dorigalbw · Onnicha Kamchomphu 1 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Onnicha Kamchomphu | 19 | 35 | 1 | 0 | 54.29 |
|---|
| HJ Thomasbowled · Onnicha Kamchomphu 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Onnicha Kamchomphu | 9 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 47.37 |
|---|
| Isabel Toualbw · S Chaturongrattana 0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b S Chaturongrattana | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16.67 |
|---|
| HL Taunot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| V Burukabowled · Onnicha Kamchomphu 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Onnicha Kamchomphu | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 7 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phannita Maya1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.0 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| T Putthawong1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 1 | 15 | 2 | 2.50 | 0 | 0 |
| S Chaturongrattana0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 20 | 3 | 3.33 | 1 | 0 |
 Onnicha Kamchomphu0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 5.3 | 0 | 15 | 3 | 2.73 | 0 | 0 |
 Chanida Sutthiruang0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 3.00 | 2 | 0 |
 Suleeporn Laomi0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 6.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 3.83 | 2 | 0 |
| Aphisara Suwanchonrathi1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 2.67 | 0 | 0 |
1-17 (Konio Oala, 5.2) · 2-28 (Naoani Vare, 9.4) · 3-28 (Brenda Tau, 10.1) · 4-39 (Sibona Jimmy, 14.4) · 5-73 (Pauke Siaka, 21.2) · 6-95 (Tanya Ruma, 28.3) · 7-111 (HJ Thomas, 33.2) · 8-116 (Isabel Toua, 34.4) · 9-116 (H Doriga, 35.1) · 10-116 (V Buruka, 35.3)
Recorded target: 238 runs in 50 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 4 | 8/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 10/0 |
| 4 | 6 | 16/0 |
| 5 | 0 | 16/0 |
| 6 | 2 | 18/1 |
| 7 | 3 | 21/1 |
| 8 | 0 | 21/1 |
| 9 | 6 | 27/1 |
| 10 | 1 | 28/2 |
| 11 | 1 | 29/3 |
| 12 | 2 | 31/3 |
| 13 | 7 | 38/3 |
| 14 | 1 | 39/3 |
| 15 | 1 | 40/4 |
| 16 | 7 | 47/4 |
| 17 | 1 | 48/4 |
| 18 | 4 | 52/4 |
| 19 | 13 | 65/4 |
| 20 | 3 | 68/4 |
| 21 | 4 | 72/4 |
| 22 | 1 | 73/5 |
| 23 | 2 | 75/5 |
| 24 | 3 | 78/5 |
| 25 | 4 | 82/5 |
| 26 | 7 | 89/5 |
| 27 | 2 | 91/5 |
| 28 | 4 | 95/5 |
| 29 | 0 | 95/6 |
| 30 | 3 | 98/6 |
| 31 | 2 | 100/6 |
| 32 | 5 | 105/6 |
| 33 | 6 | 111/6 |
| 34 | 1 | 112/7 |
| 35 | 4 | 116/8 |
| 36 | 0 | 116/10 |
Naruemol Chaiwai: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Nannapat Koncharoenkai: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chanida Sutthiruang: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Onnicha Kamchomphu: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Natthakan Chantam: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Suleeporn Laomi: Bahnfrend · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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