Noakhali ExpressversusSylhet Titans

27 Dec 2025 · T20

Sylhet International Cricket Stadium · Venue photograph

Recorded result

Sylhet Titans won by 1 wickets

Noakhali Express20.0 overs143/7 Sylhet Titans20.0 overs144/9 Sylhet International Cricket Stadium ↗

How the win chances moved

Ball by ball

Noakhali Express started on 48%; Noakhali Express batted first.

Noakhali Express’s chance of winning (%) · Sylhet Titans is the rest

Noakhali Express's chances ranged from 4% to 93% during the match (Sylhet Titans: 7% to 96%).

Biggest swings

2nd inns 19.3: Sabbir Hossain to EA Brookes, six by EA Brookes. Sylhet Titans up from 7% to 39%.
2nd inns 19.4: Sabbir Hossain to EA Brookes, four by EA Brookes. Sylhet Titans up from 39% to 78%.
2nd inns 19.6: Sabbir Hossain to Salman Irshad, 1 run to Salman Irshad. Sylhet Titans up from 58% to 100%.

Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).

A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.

How this works

Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.