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Photo: Will Noakes
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast · 2024 · Men
14 Jul 2024 · T20
Edgbaston · Venue photographRecorded result
Birmingham Bears started on 63%; Birmingham Bears batted first.
Birmingham Bears's chances ranged from 51% to 100% during the match (Derbyshire: 0% to 49%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Luis Reececaught · Sam Hain · George Garton3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sam Hain · b George Garton | 15 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 100.00 |
 Aneurin Donaldcaught · Dan Mousley · Jacob Lintott2 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Dan Mousley · b Jacob Lintott | 30 | 19 | 2 | 3 | 157.89 |
| David Lloydbowled · Danny Briggs 1 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Danny Briggs | 13 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 185.71 |
 Wayne Madsencaught · Sam Hain · Danny Briggs2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sam Hain · b Danny Briggs | 19 |
| 15 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 126.67 |
 Samit Patelcaught · Sam Hain · Jacob Lintott0 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Sam Hain · b Jacob Lintott | 28 | 18 | 0 | 3 | 155.56 |
|---|
 Ross Whiteleylbw · Danny Briggs0 fours · 1 sixes | lbw · b Danny Briggs | 10 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 142.86 |
|---|
 Brooke Guestcaught · Danny Briggs · Dan Mousley0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Danny Briggs · b Dan Mousley | 15 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Zak Chappellcaught · Moeen Ali · Craig Miles0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Moeen Ali · b Craig Miles | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
 Alex Thomsoncaught · Chris Benjamin · Zakary Foulkes0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Chris Benjamin · b Zakary Foulkes | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Mohammad Amirnot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 9* | 7 | 1 | 0 | 128.57 |
|---|
| Patrick Brownbowled · Craig Miles 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Craig Miles | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Garton0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 8.50 | 2 | 0 |
| Zakary Foulkes0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 8.33 | 0 | 0 |
| Craig Miles0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.2 | 0 | 17 | 2 | 7.29 | 0 | 0 |
| Dan Mousley0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 7.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Danny Briggs0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 24 | 3 | 6.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Jacob Lintott0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 24 | 2 | 8.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Jacob Bethell0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 16.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-18 (Luis Reece, 2.4) · 2-60 (David Lloyd, 6.1) · 3-70 (Aneurin Donald, 7.4) · 4-110 (Samit Patel, 12.0) · 5-112 (Wayne Madsen, 12.3) · 6-123 (Ross Whiteley, 14.1) · 7-140 (Brooke Guest, 16.5) · 8-143 (Alex Thomson, 17.2) · 9-154 (Zak Chappell, 19.1) · 10-154 (Patrick Brown, 19.2)
Recorded target: 199 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | 3/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 10/0 |
| 3 | 14 | 24/1 |
| 4 | 14 | 38/1 |
| 5 | 10 | 48/1 |
| 6 | 12 | 60/1 |
| 7 | 6 | 66/2 |
| 8 | 6 | 72/3 |
| 9 | 10 | 82/3 |
| 10 | 4 | 86/3 |
| 11 | 16 | 102/3 |
| 12 | 8 | 110/4 |
| 13 | 4 | 114/5 |
| 14 | 9 | 123/5 |
| 15 | 4 | 127/6 |
| 16 | 10 | 137/6 |
| 17 | 4 | 141/7 |
| 18 | 7 | 148/8 |
| 19 | 6 | 154/8 |
| 20 | 0 | 154/10 |
Ross Whiteley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Aneurin Donald: Dave Morton · Public domain
Luis Reece: Dave Morton · Public domain
Brooke Guest: Dave Morton · Public domain
Mohammad Amir: 92 News · CC BY 3.0
Samit Patel: Oliver Brown · CC BY-SA 3.0
Alex Thomson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Moeen Ali: www.davidmolloyphotography.com from Sydney, Australia · CC BY 2.0
Wayne Madsen: Parklands cobbler · CC BY 3.0
Zak Chappell: Dave Morton · Public domain
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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