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Mdina Cup · 2025 · Men
31 May 2025 · T20
Recorded result
Belgium more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Belgium started on 80%; Belgium batted first.
Belgium's chances ranged from 72% to 100% during the match (Malta: 0% to 28%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R Dianishcaught and bowled · Oliver Herrington 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught and bowled · b Oliver Herrington | 21 | 35 | 3 | 0 | 60.00 |
| DR Patankarcaught · Khalid Ahmadi · Iftikhar Kankhel 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Khalid Ahmadi · b Iftikhar Kankhel | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
| P Pushparajancaught · Zaki Ul Hassan · Murid Ekrami 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Zaki Ul Hassan · b Murid Ekrami | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25.00 |
| VP Thamotharamcaught · Oliver Herrington · Murid Ekrami 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Oliver Herrington · b Murid Ekrami | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| C Sudarsanancaught · Rafiulah Alokozai · Zaki Ul Hassan 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Rafiulah Alokozai · b Zaki Ul Hassan | 4 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 30.77 |
| Mehboob Alicaught · Zaki Ul Hassan · Iftikhar Kankhel 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Zaki Ul Hassan · b Iftikhar Kankhel | 9 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 100.00 |
|---|
| SB Patelcaught · A Raza · Zaki Ul Hassan 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · A Raza · b Zaki Ul Hassan | 13 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 185.71 |
|---|
| Jaswinder Singhbowled · Zaki Ul Hassan 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Zaki Ul Hassan | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
|---|
| J Kunnanchirakkalnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Amar Sharmabowled · Zaki Ul Hassan 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Zaki Ul Hassan | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| D Marksbowled · Iftikhar Kankhel 0 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Iftikhar Kankhel | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 200.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 1 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 10 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Murid Ekrami1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 2.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Iftikhar Kankhel0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.2 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 4.20 | 1 | 0 |
| Rafiulah Alokozai0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | 5.00 | 1 | 1 |
| Zaki Ul Hassan0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 27 | 4 | 6.75 | 6 | 0 |
| Oliver Herrington0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 6.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-17 (DR Patankar, 3.5) · 2-19 (P Pushparajan, 4.3) · 3-24 (VP Thamotharam, 6.4) · 4-44 (C Sudarsanan, 10.4) · 5-44 (R Dianish, 11.2) · 6-65 (SB Patel, 13.0) · 7-67 (Mehboob Ali, 14.0) · 8-67 (Jaswinder Singh, 14.3) · 9-67 (Amar Sharma, 14.4) · 10-74 (D Marks, 15.2)
Recorded target: 178 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1/0 |
| 2 | 5 | 6/0 |
| 3 | 6 | 12/0 |
| 4 | 6 | 18/1 |
| 5 | 1 | 19/2 |
| 6 | 4 | 23/2 |
| 7 | 1 | 24/3 |
| 8 | 7 | 31/3 |
| 9 | 5 | 36/3 |
| 10 | 3 | 39/3 |
| 11 | 5 | 44/4 |
| 12 | 9 | 53/5 |
| 13 | 12 | 65/6 |
| 14 | 2 | 67/7 |
| 15 | 6 | 73/9 |
| 16 | 1 | 74/10 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.