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Photo: Jshecket
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 4.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
SA20 · 2023/24 · Men
21 Jan 2024 · T20
Boland Park, Paarl · Venue photographRecorded result
Paarl Royals started on 55%; Paarl Royals batted first.
Paarl Royals's chances ranged from 54% to 100% during the match (MI Cape Town: 0% to 46%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ryan Rickeltoncaught · Andile Phehlukwayo · Obed McCoy0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Andile Phehlukwayo · b Obed McCoy | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 83.33 |
| HE van der Dussencaught · Jos Buttler · Bjorn Fortuin 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Jos Buttler · b Bjorn Fortuin | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Dewald Brevisbowled · Bjorn Fortuin 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Bjorn Fortuin | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Connor Esterhuizencaught · Wihan Lubbe · Andile Phehlukwayo 3 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Wihan Lubbe · b Andile Phehlukwayo | 32 | 36 | 3 | 0 | 88.89 |
 |
| caught · Fabian Allen · b Tabraiz Shamsi |
| 18 |
| 27 |
| 1 |
| 0 |
| 66.67 |
| Liam Livingstonecaught · DJ Vilas · Lungi Ngidi 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · DJ Vilas · b Lungi Ngidi | 22 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 137.50 |
|---|
 Kieron Pollardlbw · Tabraiz Shamsi0 fours · 0 sixes | lbw · b Tabraiz Shamsi | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| George Lindebowled · Bjorn Fortuin 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Bjorn Fortuin | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Thomas Kabercaught · Wihan Lubbe · Obed McCoy 1 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Wihan Lubbe · b Obed McCoy | 14 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 116.67 |
|---|
 Kagiso Rabadabowled · Lungi Ngidi1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Lungi Ngidi | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Nuwan Thusharanot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 0* | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 3 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bjorn Fortuin0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 15 | 3 | 3.75 | 0 | 0 |
 Lungi Ngidi0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.2 | 0 | 26 | 2 | 7.80 | 1 | 0 |
| Obed McCoy1 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 1 | 18 | 2 | 6.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Tabraiz Shamsi1 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 2.75 | 0 | 0 |
| Andile Phehlukwayo0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 9.33 | 1 | 1 |
| Fabian Allen0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-1 (HE van der Dussen, 0.3) · 2-1 (Dewald Brevis, 0.4) · 3-13 (Ryan Rickelton, 3.2) · 4-52 (Connor Esterhuizen, 10.3) · 5-78 (Sam Curran, 13.4) · 6-78 (Kieron Pollard, 14.0) · 7-79 (George Linde, 14.2) · 8-90 (Liam Livingstone, 16.4) · 9-103 (Thomas Kaber, 17.4) · 10-103 (Kagiso Rabada, 18.2)
Recorded target: 163 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/2 |
| 2 | 6 | 8/2 |
| 3 | 5 | 13/2 |
| 4 | 0 | 13/3 |
| 5 | 5 | 18/3 |
| 6 | 7 | 25/3 |
| 7 | 13 | 38/3 |
| 8 | 4 | 42/3 |
| 9 | 4 | 46/3 |
| 10 | 4 | 50/3 |
| 11 | 6 | 56/4 |
| 12 | 4 | 60/4 |
| 13 | 18 | 78/4 |
| 14 | 0 | 78/6 |
| 15 | 4 | 82/7 |
| 16 | 3 | 85/7 |
| 17 | 13 | 98/8 |
| 18 | 5 | 103/9 |
| 19 | 0 | 103/10 |
Ryan Rickelton: Dave Morton · Public domain
David Miller: NAPARAZZI · CC BY-SA 2.0
Jos Buttler: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jason Roy: Joeyjackets · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Curran: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Kieron Pollard: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Lungi Ngidi: Starc99 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Kagiso Rabada: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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