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Photo: user:jguk
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Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
12 Jun 2025 · T20
The Oval · Venue photographKent started on 36%; Kent batted first.
Kent's chances ranged from 7% to 67% during the match (Surrey: 33% to 93%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Jacksbowled · Wes Agar1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Wes Agar | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 120.00 |
 Dominic Sibleycaught · Harry Finch · Tom Rogers1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Harry Finch · b Tom Rogers | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 66.67 |
 Jason Roycaught · Sam Billings · Wes Agar6 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Sam Billings · b Wes Agar | 56 | 30 | 6 | 3 | 186.67 |
 Sam Currancaught · Tom Rogers · Wes Agar4 fours · 0 sixes |
| caught · Tom Rogers · b Wes Agar |
| 32 |
| 26 |
| 4 |
| 0 |
| 123.08 |
| Laurie Evansnot out 4 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 46* | 29 | 4 | 2 | 158.62 |
|---|
 Tom Curranrun out · Sam Billings · Tom Rogers0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Sam Billings | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — |
|---|
| Mitchell Santnercaught · Tom Rogers · Grant Stewart 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Rogers · b Grant Stewart | 14 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 93.33 |
|---|
 Chris Jordannot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 8* | 6 | 1 | 0 | 133.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 4 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Grant Stewart0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 42 | 1 | 10.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Tom Rogers0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 20 | 1 | 5.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Wes Agar0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 3 | 6.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Nathan Gilchrist0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 41 | 0 | 10.25 | 2 | 0 |
 Matt Parkinson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 25 | 0 | 12.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Jack Leaning0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 18 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-8 (Dominic Sibley, 1.5) · 2-12 (Will Jacks, 2.3) · 3-102 (Sam Curran, 11.3) · 4-104 (Jason Roy, 12.0) · 5-105 (Tom Curran, 12.3) · 6-153 (Mitchell Santner, 18.0)
Recorded target: 172 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5/0 |
| 2 | 3 | 8/1 |
| 3 | 5 | 13/2 |
| 4 | 11 | 24/2 |
| 5 | 10 | 34/2 |
| 6 | 5 | 39/2 |
| 7 | 15 | 54/2 |
| 8 | 6 | 60/2 |
| 9 | 11 | 71/2 |
| 10 | 12 | 83/2 |
| 11 | 14 | 97/2 |
| 12 | 7 | 104/4 |
| 13 | 3 | 107/5 |
| 14 | 8 | 115/5 |
| 15 | 14 | 129/5 |
| 16 | 4 | 133/5 |
| 17 | 11 | 144/5 |
| 18 | 9 | 153/6 |
| 19 | 10 | 163/6 |
| 20 | 10 | 173/6 |
Chris Jordan: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Jason Roy: Joeyjackets · CC BY-SA 4.0
Jack Leaning: Dave Morton · Public domain
Sam Curran: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Matt Parkinson: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Jacks: Dave Morton · Public domain
Harry Finch: Dave Morton · Public domain
Grant Stewart: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Daniel Bell-Drummond: Blue Square Thing · CC0
Dominic Sibley: Dave Morton · Public domain
Tom Curran: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Billings: M.o.B 68 · CC BY-SA 2.0
Joe Denly: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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