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Photo: Rae Allen
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
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Big Bash League · 2024/25 · Men
6 Jan 2025 · T20
Brisbane Cricket Ground · Venue photographRecorded result
Sydney Thunder started on 42%; Sydney Thunder batted first.
Sydney Thunder's chances ranged from 0% to 89% during the match (Brisbane Heat: 11% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Woodbowled · Lockie Ferguson 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Lockie Ferguson | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
 Colin Munrocaught · Oliver Davies · Tom Andrews2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Oliver Davies · b Tom Andrews | 23 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 92.00 |
| Nathan McSweeneycaught · Sam Billings · Daniel Christian 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Sam Billings · b Daniel Christian | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 77.78 |
 Matt Renshawnot out4 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 48* | 33 | 4 | 2 | 145.45 |
| Max Bryant |
| lbw · b Lockie Ferguson |
| 72 |
| 35 |
| 7 |
| 4 |
| 205.71 |
 Tom Alsopcaught · Lockie Ferguson · Wes Agar0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Lockie Ferguson · b Wes Agar | 9 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 150.00 |
|---|
 Michael Nesernot out1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 7* | 3 | 1 | 0 | 233.33 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 2 · wides: 2 · noballs: 2 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lockie Ferguson0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 21 | 2 | 5.25 | 0 | 0 |
| Wes Agar0 maidens · 1 wides · 1 no-balls | 3.5 | 0 | 61 | 1 | 15.91 | 1 | 1 |
 Daniel Christian0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 6.25 | 0 | 0 |
 Chris Green0 maidens · 0 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 42 | 0 | 10.50 | 0 | 1 |
| Tom Andrews0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 23 | 1 | 7.67 | 1 | 0 |
1-2 (Jack Wood, 0.4) · 2-23 (Nathan McSweeney, 4.0) · 3-43 (Colin Munro, 8.2) · 4-151 (Max Bryant, 16.3) · 5-167 (Tom Alsop, 18.2)
Recorded target: 174 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2/1 |
| 2 | 9 | 11/1 |
| 3 | 3 | 14/1 |
| 4 | 9 | 23/2 |
| 5 | 7 | 30/2 |
| 6 | 2 | 32/2 |
| 7 | 3 | 35/2 |
| 8 | 7 | 42/2 |
| 9 | 5 | 47/3 |
| 10 | 6 | 53/3 |
| 11 | 20 | 73/3 |
| 12 | 12 | 85/3 |
| 13 | 16 | 101/3 |
| 14 | 5 | 106/3 |
| 15 | 19 | 125/3 |
| 16 | 22 | 147/3 |
| 17 | 5 | 152/4 |
| 18 | 9 | 161/4 |
| 19 | 13 | 174/5 |
Tom Alsop: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Green: Servite et contribuere · CC0
David Warner: YellowMonkey/Blnguyen · CC BY-SA 4.0
Daniel Christian: Naparazzi · CC BY-SA 2.0
Michael Neser: Dave Morton · Public domain
Lockie Ferguson: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Matt Renshaw: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Colin Munro: Joeyjackets · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Billings: M.o.B 68 · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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