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Photo: Rae Allen
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Big Bash League · 2024/25 · Men
6 Jan 2025 · T20
Brisbane Cricket Ground · Venue photographRecorded result
Sydney Thunder started on 42%; Sydney Thunder batted first.
Sydney Thunder's chances ranged from 0% to 89% during the match (Brisbane Heat: 11% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 1
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Daviescaught · Tom Alsop · Michael Neser 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Alsop · b Michael Neser | 10 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 83.33 |
7 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Spencer Johnson | 50 | 36 | 7 | 0 | 138.89 |
| Matthew Gilkescaught · Tom Alsop · Spencer Johnson 4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Alsop · b Spencer Johnson | 20 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 200.00 |
1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Alsop · b Michael Neser | 10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 111.11 |
| caught · Nathan McSweeney · b Matthew Kuhnemann |
| 11 |
| 9 |
| 0 |
| 1 |
| 122.22 |
| Hugh Weibgencaught · Mitchell Swepson · Matthew Kuhnemann 0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Mitchell Swepson · b Matthew Kuhnemann | 11 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 137.50 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Matthew Kuhnemann · b Xavier Bartlett | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 71.43 |
|---|
0 fours · 2 sixes | not out | 23* | 15 | 0 | 2 | 153.33 |
|---|
| Tom Andrewsbowled · Spencer Johnson 1 fours · 1 sixes | bowled · b Spencer Johnson | 13 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 216.67 |
|---|
1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 7* | 9 | 1 | 0 | 77.78 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 4 · wides: 8 · noballs: 1 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 6.25 | 0 | 0 | |
| Xavier Bartlett0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 39 | 1 | 9.75 | 1 | 0 |
| Matthew Kuhnemann0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 2 | 8.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Mitchell Swepson0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 8.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Spencer Johnson0 maidens · 5 wides · 1 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 39 | 3 | 9.75 | 5 | 1 |
1-12 (Oliver Davies, 2.3) · 2-60 (Matthew Gilkes, 6.2) · 3-77 (Sam Billings, 8.1) · 4-97 (Sherfane Rutherford, 11.0) · 5-115 (Hugh Weibgen, 13.0) · 6-125 (David Warner, 14.2) · 7-129 (Chris Green, 15.2) · 8-144 (Tom Andrews, 16.4)
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6/0 |
| 2 | 6 | 12/0 |
| 3 | 8 | 20/1 |
| 4 | 11 | 31/1 |
| 5 | 8 | 39/1 |
| 6 | 17 | 56/1 |
| 7 | 15 | 71/2 |
| 8 | 6 | 77/2 |
| 9 | 4 | 81/3 |
| 10 | 8 | 89/3 |
| 11 | 8 | 97/4 |
| 12 | 8 | 105/4 |
| 13 | 10 | 115/5 |
| 14 | 4 | 119/5 |
| 15 | 9 | 128/6 |
| 16 | 9 | 137/7 |
| 17 | 7 | 144/8 |
| 18 | 5 | 149/8 |
| 19 | 16 | 165/8 |
| 20 | 8 | 173/8 |
Tom Alsop: Dave Morton · Public domain
Chris Green: Servite et contribuere · CC0
David Warner: YellowMonkey/Blnguyen · CC BY-SA 4.0
Daniel Christian: Naparazzi · CC BY-SA 2.0
Michael Neser: Dave Morton · Public domain
Lockie Ferguson: CRICKETNEXT · CC BY 3.0
Matt Renshaw: Blue Square Thing · CC BY-SA 4.0
Colin Munro: Joeyjackets · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Billings: M.o.B 68 · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.