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Photo: Philip Terry Graham
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
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Big Bash League · 2025/26 · Men
3 Jan 2026 · T20
Sydney Showground Stadium · Venue photographRecorded result
Sydney Thunder started on 43%; Sydney Thunder batted first.
Sydney Thunder's chances ranged from 0% to 77% during the match (Hobart Hurricanes: 23% to 100%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Wardcaught · Sam Billings · Daniel Sams 10 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Sam Billings · b Daniel Sams | 90 | 49 | 10 | 3 | 183.67 |
| Mitchell Owencaught · Sam Billings · Daniel Sams 2 fours · 5 sixes | caught · Sam Billings · b Daniel Sams | 45 | 18 | 2 | 5 | 250.00 |
 Rehan Ahmedcaught · Chris Green · Wes Agar0 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Chris Green · b Wes Agar | 16 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 114.29 |
| Ben McDermottcaught · Tom Andrews · Daniel Sams 2 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Andrews · b Daniel Sams | 10 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 142.86 |
| Nikhil Chaudharynot out 3 fours · 2 sixes |
| not out |
| 29* |
| 14 |
| 3 |
| 2 |
| 207.14 |
 Matthew Wadenot out3 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 13* | 5 | 3 | 0 | 260.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 3 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Andrews0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 20 | 0 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Nathan McAndrew0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 45 | 0 | 15.00 | 1 | 0 |
| Wes Agar0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 33 | 1 | 11.00 | 1 | 0 |
 Daniel Sams0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 36 | 3 | 12.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Shadab Khan0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 40 | 0 | 13.33 | 1 | 0 |
 Chris Green0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.5 | 0 | 32 | 0 | 8.35 | 0 | 0 |
1-108 (Mitchell Owen, 8.3) · 2-148 (Rehan Ahmed, 12.4) · 3-157 (Tim Ward, 14.1) · 4-166 (Ben McDermott, 14.5)
Recorded target: 206 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 12/0 |
| 2 | 16 | 28/0 |
| 3 | 14 | 42/0 |
| 4 | 12 | 54/0 |
| 5 | 11 | 65/0 |
| 6 | 9 | 74/0 |
| 7 | 16 | 90/0 |
| 8 | 14 | 104/0 |
| 9 | 11 | 115/1 |
| 10 | 6 | 121/1 |
| 11 | 8 | 129/1 |
| 12 | 13 | 142/1 |
| 13 | 8 | 150/2 |
| 14 | 7 | 157/2 |
| 15 | 13 | 170/4 |
| 16 | 15 | 185/4 |
| 17 | 11 | 196/4 |
| 18 | 11 | 207/4 |
Chris Green: Servite et contribuere · CC0
Nic Maddinson: Naparazzi · CC BY-SA 2.0
Rishad Hossain: Press Information Department · Public domain
Matthew Wade: paddynapper · CC BY-SA 2.0
David Warner: YellowMonkey/Blnguyen · CC BY-SA 4.0
Chris Jordan: Number 10 · CC BY 2.0
Sam Konstas: WikiWanderer261 · CC0
Rehan Ahmed: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Prestwidge: QWisps · CC BY-SA 4.0
Shadab Khan: Pakistan Cricket · CC BY 3.0
Daniel Sams: Neb · CC BY-SA 4.0
Sam Billings: M.o.B 68 · CC BY-SA 2.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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