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Photo: Mattbuck
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 3.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
11 Jun 2025 · T20
Trent Bridge · Venue photographRecorded result
Yorkshire started on 45%; Yorkshire batted first.
Yorkshire's chances ranged from 29% to 98% during the match (Nottinghamshire: 2% to 71%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Clarkecaught · Will Sutherland · Dominic Bess 5 fours · 3 sixes | caught · Will Sutherland · b Dominic Bess | 50 | 29 | 5 | 3 | 172.41 |
| Lyndon Jamesbowled · Jack White 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jack White | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Jack Haynescaught · James Wharton · Jack White 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · James Wharton · b Jack White | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
| Freddie McCanncaught · Will Sutherland · JA Chohan 3 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Will Sutherland · b JA Chohan | 31 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 172.22 |
 Tom Moorescaught · Dominic Bess · Jack White2 fours · 0 sixes |
| 19 |
| 22 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 86.36 |
| Matthew Montgomerycaught · Dominic Bess · William O’Rourke 1 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Dominic Bess · b William O’Rourke | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
 Daniel Samscaught and bowled · Dominic Bess0 fours · 3 sixes | caught and bowled · b Dominic Bess | 20 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 222.22 |
|---|
| Liam Patterson-Whitecaught · Adam Lyth · JA Chohan 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Adam Lyth · b JA Chohan | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 50.00 |
|---|
| Calvin Harrisonnot out 2 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 18* | 12 | 2 | 0 | 150.00 |
|---|
| Conor McKerrbowled · Jack White 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Jack White | 6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 60.00 |
|---|
| Dillon Penningtonnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 1* | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 4 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 5 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack White0 maidens · 3 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 33 | 4 | 8.25 | 3 | 0 |
 Dominic Bess0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 40 | 2 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
 William O’Rourke0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 31 | 1 | 7.75 | 1 | 0 |
| JA Chohan0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 18 | 2 | 4.50 | 0 | 0 |
 Adam Lyth0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9.00 | 0 | 0 |
 Matt Revis0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 30 | 0 | 10.00 | 1 | 0 |
1-4 (Lyndon James, 0.5) · 2-4 (Jack Haynes, 1.0) · 3-67 (Freddie McCann, 6.3) · 4-104 (Joe Clarke, 11.5) · 5-106 (Tom Moores, 12.3) · 6-119 (Matthew Montgomery, 14.1) · 7-136 (Daniel Sams, 16.0) · 8-136 (Liam Patterson-White, 16.1) · 9-165 (Conor McKerr, 19.5)
Recorded target: 176 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/2 |
| 2 | 7 | 11/2 |
| 3 | 21 | 32/2 |
| 4 | 13 | 45/2 |
| 5 | 11 | 56/2 |
| 6 | 11 | 67/2 |
| 7 | 3 | 70/3 |
| 8 | 9 | 79/3 |
| 9 | 6 | 85/3 |
| 10 | 6 | 91/3 |
| 11 | 7 | 98/3 |
| 12 | 7 | 105/4 |
| 13 | 2 | 107/5 |
| 14 | 12 | 119/5 |
| 15 | 2 | 121/6 |
| 16 | 15 | 136/7 |
| 17 | 6 | 142/8 |
| 18 | 12 | 154/8 |
| 19 | 5 | 159/8 |
| 20 | 7 | 166/9 |
William Luxton: Dave Morton · Public domain
Will Sutherland: @evermorestation on Twitter · CC BY-SA 4.0
Tom Moores: Dave Morton · Public domain
Dawid Malan: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Matt Revis: Dave Morton · Public domain
William O’Rourke: Dave Morton · Public domain
Daniel Sams: Neb · CC BY-SA 4.0
Adam Lyth: Harrias · CC BY-SA 3.0
Dominic Bess: Ytfc23 · CC BY-SA 4.0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.
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