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Photo: Ruth Sharville
Original photograph ↗ · CC BY-SA 2.0
Resized and converted to WebP; original framing preserved.
Historical photograph; current appearance and conditions may differ.
Vitality Blast Men · 2025 · Men
11 Jul 2025 · T20
New Road, Worcester · Venue photographRecorded result
Birmingham Bears started on 54%; Birmingham Bears batted first.
Birmingham Bears's chances ranged from 37% to 100% during the match (Worcestershire: 0% to 63%).
Tested on every ball of 1,336 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.175, against 0.247 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Mohammedcaught · Richard Gleeson · Hasan Ali 2 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Richard Gleeson · b Hasan Ali | 25 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 108.70 |
| Brett D'Oliveiracaught · Ed Barnard · Hasan Ali 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Ed Barnard · b Hasan Ali | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20.00 |
4 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Hasan Ali · b Danny Briggs | 30 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 136.36 |
5 fours · 2 sixes | lbw · b Hasan Ali | 51 | 36 | 5 | 2 | 141.67 |
| lbw · b Danny Briggs |
| 2 |
| 3 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 66.67 |
| Ben Dwarshuiscaught · Richard Gleeson · Danny Briggs 0 fours · 2 sixes | caught · Richard Gleeson · b Danny Briggs | 13 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 260.00 |
|---|
| HJ Cullencaught · Alex Davies · Craig Miles 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Alex Davies · b Craig Miles | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 40.00 |
|---|
| Tom Taylorcaught · Craig Miles · Richard Gleeson 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Craig Miles · b Richard Gleeson | 19 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 172.73 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | run out · Tom Latham | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · Tom Latham · b Craig Miles | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| Khurram Shehzadnot out 0 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 2* | 3 | 0 | 0 | 66.67 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 6 · wides: 2 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Garton0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 16 | 0 | 5.33 | 0 | 0 |
| 4.0 | 0 | 26 | 1 | 6.50 | 1 | 0 | |
| 4.0 | 0 | 32 | 3 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 | |
| Craig Miles0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.3 | 0 | 22 | 2 | 6.29 | 0 | 0 |
| Danny Briggs0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 37 | 3 | 9.25 | 1 | 0 |
| Dan Mousley0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 1.0 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 14.00 | 0 | 0 |
1-12 (Brett D'Oliveira, 3.3) · 2-29 (Isaac Mohammed, 6.0) · 3-78 (Gareth Roderick, 11.1) · 4-82 (Ethan Brookes, 12.0) · 5-104 (Ben Dwarshuis, 13.2) · 6-109 (HJ Cullen, 14.2) · 7-142 (Tom Taylor, 17.3) · 8-151 (Fateh Singh, 18.3) · 9-151 (Adam Hose, 18.5) · 10-153 (Adam Finch, 19.3)
Recorded target: 177 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8/0 |
| 2 | 2 | 10/0 |
| 3 | 2 | 12/0 |
| 4 | 2 | 14/1 |
| 5 | 1 | 15/1 |
| 6 | 14 | 29/2 |
| 7 | 10 | 39/2 |
| 8 | 7 | 46/2 |
| 9 | 7 | 53/2 |
| 10 | 11 | 64/2 |
| 11 | 14 | 78/2 |
| 12 | 4 | 82/4 |
| 13 | 15 | 97/4 |
| 14 | 12 | 109/5 |
| 15 | 4 | 113/6 |
| 16 | 13 | 126/6 |
| 17 | 8 | 134/6 |
| 18 | 8 | 142/7 |
| 19 | 10 | 152/9 |
| 20 | 1 | 153/10 |
Adam Hose: Dave Morton · Public domain
Richard Gleeson: Charltonkyle · CC BY-SA 4.0
Fateh Singh: Dave Morton · Public domain
Gareth Roderick: Dave Morton · Public domain
Adam Finch: Dave Morton · Public domain
Hasan Ali: Pakistan Cricket Board · CC BY 3.0
Tom Latham: Robert Drummond · CC0
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.