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Africa Continental Cup · 2026 · Men
12 Sept 2026 · T20
Recorded result
Botswana more likely to win
Model tested on 2,789 past T20 internationals it never saw: its favourite won 73% of the time.
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Worked out only from matches played before this one. The chances come from each side’s results rating in this format (an Elo rating that moves after every result), who is at home, recent form and past meetings. We tested it on matches from 2024 onwards that it had never seen. Upsets happen.
Botswana started on 79%; Botswana batted first.
Botswana's chances ranged from 66% to 100% during the match (Sierra Leone: 0% to 34%).
Tested on every ball of 1,498 matches from 2024 it never saw: error score 0.130, against 0.197 for the pre-match chance alone (lower is better).
A prediction, not a certainty. For fun and insight, not betting.
Before a ball is bowled the chance comes from the pre-match model. After each ball we compare the score with what usually follows from that many overs and wickets left at this ground (like a rain-rule resource table) and, in a chase, with the runs still needed. Early on the pre-match view counts most; late on the situation does.
Innings 2
| Batter | Dismissal | R | B | 4s | 6s | SR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R Cokerrun out · M Kasselman, B Keganne · K Piet 0 fours · 1 sixes | run out · M Kasselman, B Keganne | 16 | 24 | 0 | 1 | 66.67 |
| A Turaybowled · K Piet 1 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b K Piet | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 85.71 |
| AB Kamaracaught · Mmoloki Mooketsi · B Khumalo 7 fours · 1 sixes | caught · Mmoloki Mooketsi · b B Khumalo | 46 | 37 | 7 | 1 | 124.32 |
| Aliya Kamaracaught · P Silas · Dhruv Maisuria 2 fours · 1 sixes | caught · P Silas · b Dhruv Maisuria | 19 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 126.67 |
| L Laminbowled · Mmoloki Mooketsi 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mmoloki Mooketsi | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 33.33 |
| caught · Thatayaone Tshose · b Mmoloki Mooketsi |
| 0 |
| 2 |
| 0 |
| 0 |
| 0.00 |
| Ibrahim Kpakabowled · Mmoloki Mooketsi 0 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Mmoloki Mooketsi | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| G Sesaynot out 3 fours · 1 sixes | not out | 28* | 19 | 3 | 1 | 147.37 |
|---|
| Brima Ansumanabowled · Thatayaone Tshose 2 fours · 0 sixes | bowled · b Thatayaone Tshose | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 200.00 |
|---|
| S Contehcaught · K Piet · B Kgosiemang 0 fours · 0 sixes | caught · K Piet · b B Kgosiemang | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 |
|---|
| S Williamsnot out 1 fours · 0 sixes | not out | 6* | 5 | 1 | 0 | 120.00 |
|---|
| Extras | byes: 0 · legbyes: 1 · wides: 9 · noballs: 0 · penalty: 0 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bowler | Overs | M | R | W | Runs / 6 balls | WD | NB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B Khumalo0 maidens · 2 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 9.00 | 2 | 0 |
| B Kgosiemang0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 8.00 | 0 | 0 |
| K Piet0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 16 | 1 | 4.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Mmoloki Mooketsi0 maidens · 6 wides · 0 no-balls | 4.0 | 0 | 25 | 3 | 6.25 | 6 | 0 |
| B Keganne0 maidens · 1 wides · 0 no-balls | 2.0 | 0 | 23 | 0 | 11.50 | 1 | 0 |
| Dhruv Maisuria0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 30 | 1 | 10.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Thatayaone Tshose0 maidens · 0 wides · 0 no-balls | 3.0 | 0 | 13 | 1 | 4.33 | 0 | 0 |
1-12 (A Turay, 2.3) · 2-34 (R Coker, 7.0) · 3-81 (Aliya Kamara, 11.2) · 4-89 (L Lamin, 12.3) · 5-89 (EM Turay, 12.5) · 6-89 (Ibrahim Kpaka, 13.0) · 7-106 (AB Kamara, 16.4) · 8-120 (Brima Ansumana, 18.0) · 9-125 (S Conteh, 18.4)
Recorded target: 166 runs in 20 overs.
| Over / set | Runs | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | 4/0 |
| 2 | 7 | 11/0 |
| 3 | 1 | 12/1 |
| 4 | 2 | 14/1 |
| 5 | 8 | 22/1 |
| 6 | 9 | 31/1 |
| 7 | 3 | 34/2 |
| 8 | 12 | 46/2 |
| 9 | 11 | 57/2 |
| 10 | 6 | 63/2 |
| 11 | 12 | 75/2 |
| 12 | 12 | 87/3 |
| 13 | 2 | 89/6 |
| 14 | 5 | 94/6 |
| 15 | 4 | 98/6 |
| 16 | 3 | 101/6 |
| 17 | 14 | 115/7 |
| 18 | 5 | 120/8 |
| 19 | 10 | 130/9 |
| 20 | 12 | 142/9 |
Statistics are calculated from imported deliveries. Super overs are separate; source corrections may change recorded figures.